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7<br />

7.1 Introduction<br />

THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY 171<br />

The Transmission<br />

Mechanism of<br />

Monetary Policy - I<br />

‘A man who has more money about him than he requires is tempted<br />

to spend it. It is apt to “burn a hole in his pocket”.’ S. Smiles, Thrift<br />

(1875) viii p.125<br />

What you will learn in this chapter:<br />

• The ways in which interest rate changes affect consumption expenditure<br />

• The ways in which interest rate changes affect investment expenditure<br />

• The factors affecting the size of these changes<br />

• The importance of degrees of confidence <strong>and</strong> expectations;<br />

• The different views of the transmission mechanism assuming an exogenous<br />

increase in the money supply<br />

• The implications of these views for the dem<strong>and</strong> for money<br />

• The importance of the type of exchange rate system for the <strong>monetary</strong><br />

transmission mechanism<br />

• The possibility of <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong> changes being transmitted to expenditure<br />

through the availability of credit.<br />

We are concerned in this <strong>and</strong> the following chapter with what happens in the<br />

economy following a change in <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong>. We are particularly interested<br />

in the impact that <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong> has on the nominal income of the<br />

economy <strong>and</strong>, through this, on the level of output <strong>and</strong> the rate of inflation.<br />

The series of links between the <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong> change <strong>and</strong> the changes in<br />

output, employment, <strong>and</strong> inflation are known as the transmission mechanism<br />

of <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong>. This can be broken up into two elements — the<br />

impact of <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong> changes on aggregate dem<strong>and</strong>; <strong>and</strong> the effect of<br />

changes in aggregate dem<strong>and</strong> on output, employment, <strong>and</strong> prices. In this<br />

chapter, we consider the first of these. Chapter 8 looks at the second part of<br />

the transmission mechanism.<br />

We have seen that a <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong> change may take one of three<br />

forms:

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