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bain_y_howells__monetary_economics__policy_and_its_theoretical_basis

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ly between 1980 <strong>and</strong> 1985 — it has been the growth rate <strong>and</strong> not the<br />

absolute size which they have targeted). It is thus a fairly simple task for<br />

the central bank to ensure that the quantity of <strong>monetary</strong> base (of which<br />

reserves are a part — see equation 3.2) grows slowly enough that at the end<br />

of each day the banks involved in the settlement process are short of funds<br />

(Bank, 1997a). In addition to this, a large fraction of banks’ liquidity consists<br />

of previous short-term borrowing from central banks. When these<br />

loans mature (‘unwinding of official assistance’ in the jargon) they need to<br />

be refinanced. Provided that the shortage is system-wide, interbank lending<br />

<strong>and</strong> borrowing cannot resolve the shortage <strong>and</strong> the central bank is then in<br />

the position to exploit <strong>its</strong> monopoly position in the supply of reserves.<br />

Like any monopolist, the central bank can set either the price or the<br />

quantity of reserves which it supplies. Two contrasting possibilities, <strong>and</strong> one<br />

intermediate one, are described in Figure 4.1.<br />

Interest<br />

rate<br />

i 2<br />

i 3<br />

i 1 =i*<br />

0<br />

MONEY SUPPLY AND CONTROL IN THE UK 75<br />

Figure 4.1: The supply of bank reserves<br />

R*<br />

S 1<br />

Quantity of reserves<br />

We begin with the situation where the authorities have a fixed target for<br />

reserves, R*. In the event that dem<strong>and</strong> increases from D 1 to D 2 , <strong>and</strong> there is<br />

a shortage shown by the distance AB, the central bank can hold to <strong>its</strong> quantity<br />

target, in which case bidding by banks for the available reserves will<br />

push the rate of interest up from i 1 to i 2 . Recall what we said above, namely<br />

that if the shortage is system-wide then interbank bidding cannot change<br />

the quantity which remains at R*. The rise in interest rates must bear all of<br />

the adjustment.<br />

Alternatively, the central bank may choose to target the rate of interest,<br />

i*. In this case, the bank must supply whatever quantity of additional<br />

‘S 3 ’<br />

D 1<br />

‘S 2 ’<br />

D 2

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