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bain_y_howells__monetary_economics__policy_and_its_theoretical_basis

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forward attempt to control the public’s dem<strong>and</strong> for loans through interest<br />

rate control as practised by both the Bank of Engl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> the ECB. The Fed<br />

has, however, attempted to introduce some control over the rate of growth<br />

of the money supply from time to time over the past 30 years.<br />

Pause for thought 14.5:<br />

MONETARY POLICY IN THE USA 429<br />

If reserve ratios are not used to control the rate of expansion of bank balance<br />

sheets, why are they set?<br />

From 1970 to 1979, the FOMC tried to achieve this by specifying at each<br />

meeting both a target rate for Fed funds <strong>and</strong> a target range for the rate for<br />

the period up to the next meeting. Then, if the money supply was judged to<br />

be rising too rapidly, the New York Reserve adjusted the supply of reserves<br />

to allow the Fed funds rate to drift up towards the top of the target range.<br />

Nevertheless, once the top of the target interest rate range was reached,<br />

additional dem<strong>and</strong>s for reserves would be met <strong>and</strong> the stock of money<br />

would be allowed to rise. That is, the money supply again became endogenous.<br />

Although it was true that extra pressure could be applied by raising<br />

the top of the target range at the next FOMC meeting or, indeed, between<br />

meetings, 17 the Fed was not controlling the money supply effectively during<br />

this period.<br />

A more wholehearted effort was made from October 1979, when the Fed<br />

sought to engage in what Fazzari <strong>and</strong> Minsky (1984) referred to as ‘practical’<br />

monetarism — the use of the quantity <strong>and</strong> rate of change of a <strong>monetary</strong><br />

aggregate as the intermediate target of <strong>monetary</strong> <strong>policy</strong>. Interest rate targets<br />

were replaced by targets for non-borrowed reserves. Increases in Fed funds<br />

rates brought about by increases in the dem<strong>and</strong> for reserves would, then, not<br />

be limited by the target range for interest rates. In theory, this was a move<br />

in the direction of <strong>monetary</strong> base control. Yet, the Fed still failed to control<br />

reserve growth.<br />

One reason given in the early 1980s for this continued lack of control<br />

was that from 1968 a system of lagged reserve accounting had operated for<br />

calculating the reserves required by banks. As we point out in Section 4.3,<br />

the current level of required reserves was thus predetermined by the past<br />

level of depos<strong>its</strong> <strong>and</strong> there was nothing banks could do to accommodate<br />

depos<strong>its</strong> to reserves. The required reserve ratios could only be met by the<br />

Fed supplying the reserves.<br />

Yet, when the change was made to contemporaneous reserve accounting<br />

in 1984, the Fed’s ability to control reserves did not improve. This was

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