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PhD thesis - University of Hertfordshire Research Archive

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compare the period after 2000 with previous years, as a rule change on the<br />

recording <strong>of</strong> pneumonia as an underlying cause was introduced at this time.<br />

A categorical variable was created to represent approximations <strong>of</strong> the<br />

seasons in which death occurred (Winter=December to February;<br />

Spring=March to May; Summer=June to August; Autumn=September to<br />

November). The effect <strong>of</strong> each explanatory variable on the outcome <strong>of</strong><br />

interest was assessed using single variable logistic regression. Variables<br />

significantly associated with the outcome <strong>of</strong> interest at a level <strong>of</strong> 90% or<br />

higher were included in a multivariate logistic regression model, which was<br />

simplified subsequently using the likelihood ratio test with a P value cut-<strong>of</strong>f <strong>of</strong><br />

0.05.<br />

151

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