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PhD thesis - University of Hertfordshire Research Archive

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Results.<br />

Between 1993 and 2006 campylobacters were recorded as the underlying<br />

cause <strong>of</strong> 45 deaths in England and Wales, giving an incidence <strong>of</strong> 6.6 deaths<br />

per 100,000 cases <strong>of</strong> infection (95% confidence interval (95%CI) 4.8-8.9) or a<br />

case fatality rate <strong>of</strong> 0.007% (95%CI 0.005%-0.009%). However, when all-<br />

cause mortality was examined 153 deaths were identified, giving an<br />

incidence rate <strong>of</strong> 22.5 deaths per 100,000 infections (95%CI 19.1-26.3), or a<br />

case fatality rate <strong>of</strong> 0.022% (95%CI 0.018%-0.026%). Hence, underlying<br />

cause mortality underascertains the role <strong>of</strong> campylobacters by a factor<br />

greater than three (incidence ratio (IR) 0.29; 95%CI 0.21-0.41). Subsequent<br />

analysis relates to all-cause mortality unless stated otherwise.<br />

Campylobacter patients who died were <strong>of</strong>ten elderly (83/153; 54%) or had an<br />

underlying condition (most commonly cardiovascular conditions (37%) or<br />

malignancies (22%)). Over a quarter <strong>of</strong> patients fulfilled both criteria (43;<br />

28%). The case-fatality rate in those aged 70-79 years (0.12%; 95%CI 0.08-<br />

0.16%) was higher than in those aged

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