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98<br />

Vladislav Zubok<br />

primary goal <strong>of</strong> the Gorbachev reformers in the late 1980s, they failed to realize<br />

this incompatibility themselves, which contributed to their false optimism at the<br />

start <strong>of</strong> perestroika and to the willingness to accept geostrategic <strong>de</strong>feat in Central<br />

Europe.<br />

The European geopolitical revolution <strong>of</strong> 1989-90 was the logical conclusion <strong>of</strong><br />

the process started by the Marshall Plan in 1947. Yet, Gorbachev’s reaction to it<br />

was diametrically opposite to the reaction <strong>of</strong> Joseph Stalin. While the first Soviet<br />

General Secretary harshly rejected the perspective <strong>of</strong> a united Europe, seeing it<br />

more as a threat than a potential opportunity for economic and political partnership,<br />

the last General Secretary sacrificed immediate security assets in the name <strong>of</strong> a<br />

long-term prospect <strong>of</strong> his country’s partnership with a new united Europe. Many <strong>of</strong><br />

Gorbachev’s countrymen have had second thoughts today as to whether or not that<br />

choice was a pru<strong>de</strong>nt one. Some politicians feel humiliated by Russia’s marginalization<br />

in European affairs and by NATO’s overeagerness to oblige Eastern European<br />

countries (and possibly Ukraine, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia) in their <strong>de</strong>sire<br />

to obtain security guarantees against an unpredictable big neighbor to the East. It<br />

will take some time for the dust to settle and for the Russians to realize their new<br />

position vis-à-vis Europe in the light <strong>of</strong> contemporary <strong>history</strong>. This <strong>history</strong> clearly<br />

shows that the <strong>de</strong>cision <strong>of</strong> Stalin’s lea<strong>de</strong>rship to oppose the forces <strong>of</strong> European <strong>integration</strong><br />

was a tragic and costly mistake that the Russians cannot afford to repeat.<br />

Vladislav Zubok

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