Draft MTP/SCS Comments Received - sacog

seem to suggest a preference for a greater variety of housing choice—in particular, increased
demand for attached and smaller lot single family product nearer amenities and with greater
transportation choices. Compared to the current available housing choices, the MTP/SCS moves
the region in the right direction.
But when considering the latest available housing market studies, it appears that the SACOG
MTP/SCS may not go far enough in the right direction. A November, 2011 report from the
Urban Land Institute (ULI) entitled The New California Dream compares the current (2010)
supply of various housing product types to future (2035) market demand in California’s four
largest regions i . The ULI report makes two particularly relevant findings for the Sacramento
region:
1. The 2010 supply of large lot single family housing (>1/8 th acre) in the SACOG region
exceeds the projected demand for this housing type in 2035. Stated more clearly: the
SACOG region already has more of this product type than will be needed in 2035, even
assuming population growth. By contrast, the demand for small lot single family and
attached products is strong and exceeds current supply by approximately 453,000 units,
illustrated below in Figure 4.1.
2. The projected 2035 demand for homes near transit is so strong that even if all new units
constructed in the SACOG region between 2010 and 2035 were located near transit, the
2035 demand would still outstrip supply, as depicted in Figure 4.2, below.
2