Analysis - The Institute for Southern Studies

Exhibit 5C-17
Scenario #2: Decrease in Future CCR Beneficial Use Because of Stigma Under Subtitle C Option
Year
CCR generation
Beneficial use %
Decrease w/out
% beneficial use
Decrease tons
tons
tons Decrease
mine filling tons
2026 145,881,135 43.33% 63,204,812 -35.84% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2027 146,675,154 44.38% 65,095,213 -35.17% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2028 147,469,174 45.41% 66,961,561 -34.53% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2029 148,263,193 46.41% 68,804,337 -33.91% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2030 149,057,213 47.38% 70,624,016 -33.33% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2031 149,851,232 48.33% 72,421,062 -32.78% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2032 150,645,252 49.25% 74,195,934 -32.24% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2033 151,439,271 50.15% 75,949,081 -31.74% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2034 152,233,291 51.03% 77,680,946 -31.25% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2035 153,027,310 51.88% 79,391,964 -30.78% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2036 153,821,330 52.71% 81,082,562 -30.34% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2037 154,615,349 53.52% 82,753,160 -29.91% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2038 155,409,369 54.31% 84,404,170 -29.49% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2039 156,203,388 55.08% 86,035,997 -29.10% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2040 156,997,408 55.83% 87,649,041 -28.72% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2041 157,791,427 56.56% 89,243,690 -28.35% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2042 158,585,447 57.27% 90,820,330 -27.99% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2043 159,379,466 57.96% 92,379,337 -27.65% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2044 160,173,486 58.64% 93,921,081 -27.32% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2045 160,967,505 59.30% 95,445,925 -27.00% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2046 161,761,525 59.94% 96,954,227 -26.70% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2047 162,555,544 60.56% 98,446,334 -26.40% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2048 163,349,564 61.17% 99,922,592 -26.11% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2049 164,143,583 61.77% 101,383,338 -25.83% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2050 164,937,603 62.34% 102,828,900 -25.56% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2051 165,731,622 62.91% 104,259,605 -25.30% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2052 166,525,642 63.46% 105,675,770 -25.04% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2053 167,319,661 64.00% 107,077,707 -24.80% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2054 168,113,681 64.52% 108,465,723 -24.56% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2055 168,907,700 65.03% 109,840,117 -24.33% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2056 169,701,720 65.53% 111,201,184 -24.10% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2057 170,495,739 66.01% 112,549,212 -23.88% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2058 171,289,759 66.49% 113,884,485 -23.67% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2059 172,083,778 66.95% 115,207,281 -23.46% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2060 172,877,798 67.40% 116,517,870 -23.26% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
2061 173,671,817 67.84% 117,816,520 -23.06% -35,309,432 -33,342,859
181