Analysis - The Institute for Southern Studies
Analysis - The Institute for Southern Studies
Analysis - The Institute for Southern Studies
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Step 8: Monetize Potential Induced Effects on Future CCR Beneficial Use<br />
Based on multiplying a unitized average monetized social benefit value of $559 per ton consisting of (a) the $474 per ton unitized lifecycle<br />
benefit value, plus the (b) $85 per ton average avoided disposal cost estimated <strong>for</strong> the subtitle C option, to the 50-year (i.e., 2012 to 2061)<br />
projected future baseline tonnage displayed in Exhibit 5C-18 above, produces an estimated future baseline social benefit value from CCR<br />
beneficial use of:<br />
PV @3% discount PV @7% discount<br />
Future baseline economic value: $102,290 million PV $51,170 million PV<br />
Future baseline lifecycle social value*: $1,554,323 million PV $777,541 million PV<br />
(* Includes avoided CCR disposal cost to electric utility industry)<br />
<br />
Monetization of Scenario #1 (Induced Increase in CCR Beneficial Use)<br />
Exhibit 5C-19 below provides an estimate of the potential increase in future annual tonnage and economic and social benefits associated with<br />
CCR beneficial uses (not including minefilling) that could occur as a result of the CCR proposed rule. This quantity is incrementally calculated<br />
each year as the quantity projected under the Subtitle C option (without stigma), less the quantity projected under the baseline.<br />
Exhibit 5C-19<br />
Scenario #1: Benefit from Future Increase in CCR Beneficial User Under Subtitle C “Special Waste”<br />
Year<br />
CCR Beneficial<br />
Use Increase<br />
Nominal Benefits<br />
(Millions)<br />
Discounted Benefits<br />
@ 3% (Millions)<br />
Discounted Benefits<br />
@ 7% (Millions)<br />
(tons) Econ Social Econ Social Econ Social<br />
2012 2,241,198 $82 $1,253 $82 $1,253 $82 $1,253<br />
2013 4,380,599 $161 $2,449 $156 $2,377 $151 $2,289<br />
2014 6,421,451 $236 $3,590 $223 $3,384 $206 $3,135<br />
2015 8,366,919 $308 $4,677 $282 $4,280 $251 $3,818<br />
2016 10,220,089 $376 $5,713 $334 $5,076 $287 $4,359<br />
2017 11,983,968 $441 $6,699 $380 $5,779 $314 $4,776<br />
2018 13,661,485 $503 $7,637 $421 $6,396 $335 $5,089<br />
2019 15,255,494 $561 $8,528 $456 $6,934 $350 $5,311<br />
2020 14,905,577 $548 $8,332 $433 $6,578 $319 $4,850<br />
2021 14,563,225 $536 $8,141 $411 $6,239 $291 $4,428<br />
2022 14,228,291 $523 $7,954 $389 $5,918 $266 $4,043<br />
2023 13,900,629 $511 $7,771 $369 $5,614 $243 $3,692<br />
2024 13,580,097 $500 $7,591 $350 $5,324 $222 $3,371<br />
2025 13,266,555 $488 $7,416 $332 $5,050 $203 $3,077<br />
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