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Publishing in the Knowledge Economy - DTI Home Page

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<strong>Publish<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> knowledge economy<br />

The <strong>in</strong>dustry today<br />

4.4 International comparisons of<br />

productivity and <strong>in</strong>novation<br />

We have noted already <strong>the</strong> scepticism with<br />

which <strong>in</strong>ternational comparisons should be<br />

treated. Figure 4.11 shows productivity <strong>in</strong>dices<br />

for publish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> five countries dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> 1990s,<br />

based on data from <strong>the</strong> OECD, as compiled by<br />

<strong>the</strong> Gron<strong>in</strong>gen Growth and Development Centre<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands. Productivity is measured <strong>in</strong><br />

value added (1995 prices) per worker,<br />

unadjusted for hours worked. In addition <strong>the</strong> UK<br />

employment figure excludes <strong>the</strong> self-employed.<br />

For all countries <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dex is set to 100 <strong>in</strong> 1990,<br />

except for Germany (1991).<br />

The pattern of change <strong>in</strong> productivity across<br />

<strong>the</strong>se five countries is at variance with <strong>the</strong><br />

standard picture of economy-wide productivity<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1990s. The US shows <strong>the</strong><br />

weakest productivity growth with <strong>the</strong> highest<br />

rates of growth <strong>in</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ental Europe. The UK<br />

lies somewhere <strong>in</strong> between, show<strong>in</strong>g gentle<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> productivity. O<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>dustries covered<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Gron<strong>in</strong>gen <strong>in</strong>dices exhibit a more similar<br />

pattern to <strong>the</strong> standard one, so it would appear<br />

that <strong>the</strong> performance of publish<strong>in</strong>g is, <strong>in</strong> fact, at<br />

variance with <strong>the</strong> overall <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

productivity picture. There are some possible<br />

explanations: US companies suffered from <strong>the</strong><br />

strong dollar <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> second half of <strong>the</strong> 1990s,<br />

while conversely, Eurozone countries benefited<br />

from <strong>the</strong> weaken<strong>in</strong>g Euro. With its strengths <strong>in</strong><br />

scientific publish<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands has<br />

particularly benefited from <strong>the</strong> strong dollar, as<br />

has <strong>the</strong> German publish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry. There is<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r evidence from <strong>the</strong> Newspaper Association<br />

of America that <strong>the</strong>re was a cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>in</strong> productivity <strong>in</strong> that part of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry. We<br />

have also been told <strong>in</strong> a number of <strong>in</strong>terviews<br />

that <strong>the</strong> diffusion of new technology and more<br />

efficient work<strong>in</strong>g practices has perhaps not gone<br />

as far with<strong>in</strong> US newspaper publish<strong>in</strong>g as might<br />

be expected, and not as far as it has <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />

It must be emphasised that this graph depicts<br />

growth trends, not absolute levels of<br />

productivity. Fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>ternational comparisons<br />

for sub-sectors of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry are made <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

relevant sections of <strong>the</strong> report.<br />

Reliable figures for comparisons of <strong>in</strong>novation<br />

are even harder to f<strong>in</strong>d. The UK<br />

competitiveness <strong>in</strong>dicators uses data from <strong>the</strong><br />

second Community Innovation Survey (CIS)<br />

(Figure 4.12), but at <strong>the</strong> level of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry this<br />

source becomes quite unreliable. ‘<strong>Publish<strong>in</strong>g</strong>’ is<br />

<strong>in</strong>cluded with pr<strong>in</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g and wood pulp and only<br />

133 firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> UK are <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sample.<br />

It is also quite dated (from 1996-97 – although<br />

CIS 3 is currently under preparation) and so its<br />

relevance to 2002 must be taken with a p<strong>in</strong>ch of<br />

salt. The figure below shows <strong>the</strong> percentage of<br />

firms <strong>in</strong> each <strong>in</strong>dustry stat<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong>y<br />

<strong>in</strong>troduced a new or improved product with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

last year. The percentage of UK firms <strong>in</strong> this<br />

category is above <strong>the</strong> average for <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Union (plus Norway) as a whole, but below <strong>the</strong><br />

figures for Germany and <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands.<br />

Figure 4.13 illustrates <strong>the</strong> positive trade<br />

balance <strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ted matter, which is <strong>the</strong> nearest<br />

available data to publish<strong>in</strong>g. The data is <strong>in</strong><br />

dollars – <strong>in</strong> national currency terms <strong>the</strong> picture<br />

for Germany and <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands would look<br />

much better. Naturally this is not an ideal<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ition, and it also should be po<strong>in</strong>ted out that<br />

UK publishers have made <strong>the</strong> decision to pr<strong>in</strong>t<br />

a great deal of material abroad both for cost<br />

reasons and to facilitate access to third markets.<br />

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