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Publishing in the Knowledge Economy - DTI Home Page

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<strong>Publish<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> knowledge economy<br />

The <strong>in</strong>dustry today<br />

discretionary spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• (But) low bus<strong>in</strong>ess profitability and low growth<br />

hit B2B and B2C advertis<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Product <strong>in</strong>novation – e.g. new magaz<strong>in</strong>e<br />

launches – slows<br />

• E-commerce stalls as bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

slows and consumers shun onl<strong>in</strong>e shopp<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Consumers unwill<strong>in</strong>g to share personal data<br />

but are less fickle and more brand loyal<br />

• Local media and libraries more valued as<br />

people spend less time at work<br />

• Mergers and acquisitions accelerate as media<br />

companies attempt to ga<strong>in</strong> scale<br />

Outcome<br />

If <strong>the</strong> new bus<strong>in</strong>ess environment is slow to<br />

take off due to <strong>the</strong> slow take up of network<br />

technologies, publish<strong>in</strong>g companies will be<br />

exposed to <strong>the</strong> weaknesses <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

where sales per title are decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong>re will<br />

be no chance of exploit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> opportunities<br />

projected to occur <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> new bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

environment.<br />

Should <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry not move to put <strong>in</strong>to place<br />

new processes and support<strong>in</strong>g technology to<br />

reduce costs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess, <strong>the</strong> problems will<br />

be compounded as <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry will be faced<br />

with dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g revenues without be<strong>in</strong>g able<br />

to reduce costs.<br />

The publish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry will lose out because<br />

it will be exposed to its weaknesses and unable<br />

to meet <strong>the</strong> challenges of a shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

environment.<br />

14.3.2 The fast pace of <strong>the</strong> change <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> knowledge economy catches<br />

publishers unaware<br />

This scenario assesses <strong>the</strong> impact of a very<br />

dynamic change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess and<br />

competitive environment with <strong>the</strong> shift to a new<br />

knowledge economy occurr<strong>in</strong>g at a rapid pace.<br />

It fur<strong>the</strong>r suggests that publishers have had<br />

<strong>in</strong>sufficient time to prepare for <strong>the</strong> new<br />

environment and are exposed to <strong>the</strong> threats<br />

that have been identified with regard to miss<strong>in</strong>g<br />

out on exploit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> new opportunities.<br />

Premise<br />

• <strong>Economy</strong> supports personal consumption<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g at a faster rate<br />

• Affluent and young consumers use <strong>in</strong>teractive<br />

technologies for (some) physical shopp<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

digital purchases and bill<strong>in</strong>g and bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

transactions<br />

• ‘Dest<strong>in</strong>ation shopp<strong>in</strong>g’ occurs ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> outof-town<br />

developments <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

enterta<strong>in</strong>ment facilities and ‘shop w<strong>in</strong>dows’ for<br />

travel and f<strong>in</strong>ancial services<br />

• Pace of technology growth cont<strong>in</strong>ues<br />

• The roll out of broadband and wireless<br />

technology accelerates<br />

• Publishers squeezed by new entrants <strong>in</strong>to<br />

market<br />

• Large funds are put <strong>in</strong>to new start-ups, but<br />

lessons are learnt from ‘Internet’<br />

Implications<br />

• Publishers are panicked <strong>in</strong>to ‘Internet-type’<br />

response<br />

• Publishers forced to develop chargeable<br />

services around creation and use of content<br />

• Focus is lost on exist<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess as time and<br />

money is spent on catch<strong>in</strong>g up<br />

• Lack of <strong>in</strong>centives to create content<br />

• Large <strong>in</strong>vestments are made adapt<strong>in</strong>g content<br />

and advertis<strong>in</strong>g systems<br />

• Publishers unprepared to exploit new<br />

opportunities<br />

• Content may be dumbed-down, but<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation easily available to every consumer,<br />

wherever <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

• Even greater fight for attention from<br />

consumers<br />

• Retail cha<strong>in</strong> becomes less important<br />

• Sophisticated CRM and CMS needed to<br />

manage multiple channels<br />

• Large retailers become major guardians of <strong>the</strong><br />

customer relationship and customer data<br />

• Retail brands are <strong>the</strong> most trusted by<br />

consumers and are extended back <strong>in</strong>to<br />

publish<strong>in</strong>g value cha<strong>in</strong><br />

Outcome<br />

The speed of change is such that publish<strong>in</strong>g<br />

84

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