Publishing in the Knowledge Economy - DTI Home Page
Publishing in the Knowledge Economy - DTI Home Page
Publishing in the Knowledge Economy - DTI Home Page
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<strong>Publish<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> knowledge economy<br />
The <strong>in</strong>dustry today<br />
discretionary spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />
• (But) low bus<strong>in</strong>ess profitability and low growth<br />
hit B2B and B2C advertis<strong>in</strong>g<br />
• Product <strong>in</strong>novation – e.g. new magaz<strong>in</strong>e<br />
launches – slows<br />
• E-commerce stalls as bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
slows and consumers shun onl<strong>in</strong>e shopp<strong>in</strong>g<br />
• Consumers unwill<strong>in</strong>g to share personal data<br />
but are less fickle and more brand loyal<br />
• Local media and libraries more valued as<br />
people spend less time at work<br />
• Mergers and acquisitions accelerate as media<br />
companies attempt to ga<strong>in</strong> scale<br />
Outcome<br />
If <strong>the</strong> new bus<strong>in</strong>ess environment is slow to<br />
take off due to <strong>the</strong> slow take up of network<br />
technologies, publish<strong>in</strong>g companies will be<br />
exposed to <strong>the</strong> weaknesses <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />
where sales per title are decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong>re will<br />
be no chance of exploit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> opportunities<br />
projected to occur <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> new bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
environment.<br />
Should <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry not move to put <strong>in</strong>to place<br />
new processes and support<strong>in</strong>g technology to<br />
reduce costs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess, <strong>the</strong> problems will<br />
be compounded as <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry will be faced<br />
with dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g revenues without be<strong>in</strong>g able<br />
to reduce costs.<br />
The publish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry will lose out because<br />
it will be exposed to its weaknesses and unable<br />
to meet <strong>the</strong> challenges of a shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
environment.<br />
14.3.2 The fast pace of <strong>the</strong> change <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> knowledge economy catches<br />
publishers unaware<br />
This scenario assesses <strong>the</strong> impact of a very<br />
dynamic change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess and<br />
competitive environment with <strong>the</strong> shift to a new<br />
knowledge economy occurr<strong>in</strong>g at a rapid pace.<br />
It fur<strong>the</strong>r suggests that publishers have had<br />
<strong>in</strong>sufficient time to prepare for <strong>the</strong> new<br />
environment and are exposed to <strong>the</strong> threats<br />
that have been identified with regard to miss<strong>in</strong>g<br />
out on exploit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> new opportunities.<br />
Premise<br />
• <strong>Economy</strong> supports personal consumption<br />
grow<strong>in</strong>g at a faster rate<br />
• Affluent and young consumers use <strong>in</strong>teractive<br />
technologies for (some) physical shopp<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
digital purchases and bill<strong>in</strong>g and bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />
transactions<br />
• ‘Dest<strong>in</strong>ation shopp<strong>in</strong>g’ occurs ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> outof-town<br />
developments <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
enterta<strong>in</strong>ment facilities and ‘shop w<strong>in</strong>dows’ for<br />
travel and f<strong>in</strong>ancial services<br />
• Pace of technology growth cont<strong>in</strong>ues<br />
• The roll out of broadband and wireless<br />
technology accelerates<br />
• Publishers squeezed by new entrants <strong>in</strong>to<br />
market<br />
• Large funds are put <strong>in</strong>to new start-ups, but<br />
lessons are learnt from ‘Internet’<br />
Implications<br />
• Publishers are panicked <strong>in</strong>to ‘Internet-type’<br />
response<br />
• Publishers forced to develop chargeable<br />
services around creation and use of content<br />
• Focus is lost on exist<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess as time and<br />
money is spent on catch<strong>in</strong>g up<br />
• Lack of <strong>in</strong>centives to create content<br />
• Large <strong>in</strong>vestments are made adapt<strong>in</strong>g content<br />
and advertis<strong>in</strong>g systems<br />
• Publishers unprepared to exploit new<br />
opportunities<br />
• Content may be dumbed-down, but<br />
<strong>in</strong>formation easily available to every consumer,<br />
wherever <strong>the</strong>y are<br />
• Even greater fight for attention from<br />
consumers<br />
• Retail cha<strong>in</strong> becomes less important<br />
• Sophisticated CRM and CMS needed to<br />
manage multiple channels<br />
• Large retailers become major guardians of <strong>the</strong><br />
customer relationship and customer data<br />
• Retail brands are <strong>the</strong> most trusted by<br />
consumers and are extended back <strong>in</strong>to<br />
publish<strong>in</strong>g value cha<strong>in</strong><br />
Outcome<br />
The speed of change is such that publish<strong>in</strong>g<br />
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