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Sri Lanka Human Development Report 2012.pdf

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An Environment for Business to Prosper<br />

With the end of conflict, <strong>Sri</strong> <strong>Lanka</strong> can now focus on a more<br />

impressive growth trajectory. While public investment<br />

in infrastructure - roads, bridges, ports, airports, etc. -<br />

continues at a rapid pace, private sector investment will be<br />

an important determinant of the ambitious post-conflict<br />

scenario envisaged. For <strong>Sri</strong> <strong>Lanka</strong> to sustain growth at<br />

8 percent in the medium- to long-term, the country will<br />

need to raise its annual rate of investment from the current<br />

investment edged up by 4.6 percent in 2010 and another<br />

1.4 percent in 2011, growing by 8.2 percent since the<br />

cessation of the conflict. While the share of public<br />

investment in total investment rose from 9.5 percent<br />

in 2002 to 20.9 percent in 2011, it has contracted<br />

by 23.1 percent since 2009 (Table 6.3).<br />

Table 6.3: Public and Private Investment as Proportions of Total Investment, 2002–2011<br />

Year public investment, % private investment, %<br />

2002 9.53 90.47<br />

2003 10.49 89.51<br />

2004 10.83 89.17<br />

2005 16.46 83.54<br />

2006 14.49 85.51<br />

2007 19.28 80.72<br />

2008 23.55 76.45<br />

2009 26.91 73.09<br />

2010 22.3 77.7<br />

2011 20.89 79.11<br />

Source: Central Bank of <strong>Sri</strong> <strong>Lanka</strong> Annual <strong>Report</strong> (various years).<br />

level of approximately 26 percent of GDP to at least 35<br />

percent. 306 With greater fiscal pressures, public investment<br />

alone will not be enough. Expanding private investment<br />

will depend on governance that motivates businesses to<br />

expand and create jobs.<br />

From 2002 to 2009, the share of private investment in<br />

total investment contracted steadily, falling from 90.5<br />

percent to 73.1 percent. Once peace was restored, private<br />

The drop in public investment signifies the increasing<br />

vibrancy of the private sector and underscores fiscal<br />

constraints. Government officials are clear that the preconflict<br />

growth of public investment cannot be sustained.<br />

To continue the rate of overall investment as a share of<br />

GDP, the private sector will need to play a more active<br />

role. The Government envisages that private investment,<br />

which stood at just above Rs. 1,500 billion in 2011, needs to<br />

increase to Rs. 2,000 billion in the next couple of years. 307<br />

Chapter 6 Bridging Governance Gaps: State Capacity and People’s Participation 107

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