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FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC MODEL - HIGH QUALITY AREA TOURISM - NGAMILAND 2006 - BASE CASE TABLE 10: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS - 5 YEARS (PULA) ITEM Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 EXPENDITURE Capital Expenditure 4527032 2318667 0 0 Variable Expenditure 387904 2327423 3879038 3879038 Overhead Expenditure 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 TOTAL EXPENDITURE 8453229 8184383 7417331 7417331 INCOME Gross Income 0 4723842 8502915 9447683 Asset Residual Value 0 0 0 0 TOTAL INCOME 0 4723842 8502915 9447683 NET BENEFIT/COST -8453229 -3460542 1085584 2030352 980179 0 3879038 3879038 3538293 3538293 8397510 7417331 9447683 9447683 0 5718249 9447683 15165932 1050173 7748601 FINANCIAL RATE OF RETURN (FRR) OVER 5 YEARS = NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) @ 8.00% = 0.00% -2842117 TABLE 11: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS - 7 YEARS (PULA) ITEM Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 EXPENDITURE Capital Expenditure 4527032 2318667 0 0 Variable Expenditure 387904 2327423 3879038 3879038 Overhead Expenditure 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 TOTAL EXPENDITURE 8453229 8184383 7417331 7417331 INCOME Gross Income 0 4723842 8502915 9447683 Asset Residual Value 0 0 0 0 TOTAL INCOME 0 4723842 8502915 9447683 NET BENEFIT/COST -8453229 -3460542 1085584 2030352 980179 0 192784 82622 3879038 3879038 3879038 3879038 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 8397510 7417331 7610115 7499953 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 0 0 0 5121906 9447683 9447683 9447683 14569589 1050173 2030352 1837568 7069636 FINANCIAL RATE OF RETURN (FRR) OVER 7 YEARS = NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) @ 8.00% = 4.72% -1553875 TABLE 12: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS - 10 YEARS (PULA) ITEM Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 EXPENDITURE Capital Expenditure 4527032 2318667 0 0 Variable Expenditure 387904 2327423 3879038 3879038 Overhead Expenditure 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 TOTAL EXPENDITURE 8453229 8184383 7417331 7417331 INCOME Gross Income 0 4723842 8502915 9447683 Asset Residual Value 0 0 0 0 TOTAL INCOME 0 4723842 8502915 9447683 NET BENEFIT/COST -8453229 -3460542 1085584 2030352 980179 0 192784 82622 980179 0 0 3879038 3879038 3879038 3879038 3879038 3879038 3879038 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 3538293 8397510 7417331 7610115 7499953 8397510 7417331 7417331 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 0 0 0 0 0 0 4794463 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 9447683 14242146 1050173 2030352 1837568 1947731 1050173 2030352 6824815 FINANCIAL RATE OF RETURN (FRR) OVER 10 YEARS = NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) @ 8.00% = 8.11% 71758 104
FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC MODEL - HIGH QUALITY AREA TOURISM - NGAMILAND 2006 - BASE CASE TABLE 13: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS - 5 YEARS (PULA) ITEM Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 ECONOMIC COSTS Capital Expenditure 4095674 2070679 0 0 Unskilled Wages 152880 152880 152880 152880 Other Domestic Costs 1380182 1725227 1725227 1725227 Tradable Costs 347291 2083743 3472906 3472906 Foreign Amortisation 29638 37930 37930 37930 Foreign Profits 0 23038 263293 329117 Foreign Loans Outst. 0 0 0 0 TOTAL COSTS 6005664 6093498 5652236 5718059 924701 0 152880 152880 1725227 1725227 3472906 3472906 37930 37930 329117 329117 0 337108 6642760 6055168 ECONOMIC BENEFITS Gross Income 0 4993186 8987734 9986371 Asset Residual Value 0 0 0 0 Foreign Financing 301150 152377 0 0 TOTAL BENEFITS 301150 5145563 8987734 9986371 NET BENEFIT/COST -5704514 -947935 3335498 4268312 9986371 9986371 0 5136283 64937 0 10051308 15122654 3408548 9067487 ECONOMIC RATE OF RETURN (ERR) OVER 5 YEARS = NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) @ 8.00% = 36.28% 7724359 TABLE 14: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS - 10 YEARS (PULA) ITEM Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 ECONOMIC COSTS Capital Expenditure 4095674 2070679 0 0 Unskilled Wages 152880 152880 152880 152880 Other Domestic Costs 1380182 1725227 1725227 1725227 Tradable Costs 347291 2083743 3472906 3472906 Foreign Amortisation 29638 37930 37930 37930 Foreign Profits 0 23038 263293 329117 Foreign Loans Outst. 0 0 0 0 TOTAL COSTS 6005664 6093498 5652236 5718059 924701 0 181872 77945 924701 0 0 152880 152880 152880 152880 152880 152880 152880 1725227 1725227 1725227 1725227 1725227 1725227 1725227 3472906 3472906 3472906 3472906 3472906 3472906 3472906 37930 37930 37930 37930 37930 37930 37930 329117 329117 329117 329117 329117 329117 329117 0 0 0 0 0 0 230643 6642760 5718059 5899931 5796004 6642760 5718059 5948702 ECONOMIC BENEFITS Gross Income 0 4993186 8987734 9986371 Asset Residual Value 0 0 0 0 Foreign Financing 301150 152377 0 0 TOTAL BENEFITS 301150 5145563 8987734 9986371 NET BENEFIT/COST -5704514 -947935 3335498 4268312 9986371 9986371 9986371 9986371 9986371 9986371 9986371 0 0 0 0 0 0 4301268 64937 0 12772 5474 64937 0 0 10051308 9986371 9999143 9991845 10051308 9986371 14287639 3408548 4268312 4099212 4195841 3408548 4268312 8338937 ECONOMIC RATE OF RETURN (ERR) OVER 10 YEARS = NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) @ 8.00% = 41.17% 16617402 105
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Economic value of the Cover Okavang
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This project was f
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# # # # # # # # # # typically quite
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household demographics, the relativ
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are harvested annually in the study
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3. Wise use, based on Ramsar planni
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5.4.5 Palms........................
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1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background The O
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• inform economically efficient p
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2 STUDY AREA 2.1 Location and exten
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Maunachira-Khwai) and thence into n
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2.2.5 Soils The soils of the delta
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Figure 2-3 Land use categories for
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# # # # # # # # # # Shakawe # # # #
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3 VALUATION FRAMEWORK AND METHODOLO
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other variable relevant for policy)
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3.3.2.1 Focus group discussions and
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A total of 430 households from 12 v
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Income and Expenditure Survey, a ne
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WMAs pay a lease to the local gover
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Table 4-3 Estimated direct gross ou
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Table 5-3 Average numbers of dwelli
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Table 5-6. Average number and produ
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5.3.2 Cropping Some 75% of househol
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N W SW SE C Table 5-15. Average val
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general consensus was that pottery
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Reed mats are used by a few househo
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price, and the resource generates s
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large quantities. This is a very im
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N W SW SE C Table 5-34. Estimated h
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Table 5-39 Relative proportion of d
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Mosepele (2005) recorded a fairly c
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The regulation of hunting stripped
Page 69 and 70: 5.5 The contribution of delta resou
Page 71 and 72: 6 INDIRECT USE VALUE 6.1 Indirect u
Page 73 and 74: 6.3 Indirect use values in the Okav
Page 75 and 76: estimate the net carbon sink of Aus
Page 77 and 78: Valuable migratory wildlife species
Page 79 and 80: External wildlife uses In order to
Page 81 and 82: Sanitary facilities are poorer. Alm
Page 83 and 84: Service Table 6-12. Summary of esti
Page 85 and 86: 8 THE VALUE OF THE OKAVANGO DELTA I
Page 87 and 88: Table 8-2 Summary of the direct eco
Page 89 and 90: Ramsar site Wetland Rentals & royal
Page 91 and 92: The SAM can also provide an indicat
Page 93 and 94: 9.3 Description of selected scenari
Page 95 and 96: 9.3.4 Scenario 4. Wise use plus ups
Page 97 and 98: 9.4 Parameters under different scen
Page 99 and 100: 10 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Page 101 and 102: 11 REFERENCES Abril, A & Bucher, E.
Page 103 and 104: Mbaiwa, J.E. 2002. The socio-econom
Page 105 and 106: 12 GLOSSARY Abstraction - pumping w
Page 107 and 108: Profit - the difference between 'gr
Page 109 and 110: 14 APPENDIX 2. TOURISM OPERATIONS I
Page 111 and 112: 69 Wilderness Dawning 70 Wilmot Saf
Page 113 and 114: FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC MODEL - HIGH QUA
Page 119: FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC MODEL - HIGH QUA
Page 123 and 124: 16 APPENDIX 4. THE SAFARI HUNTING E
Page 135 and 136: Table A5.1 Structure of a Social Ac
Page 137 and 138: The sum of this column is the total
Page 139: generation and household expenditur
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