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9.3 Description of selected scenarios<br />
9.3.1 Scenario 1. Agricultural expansion<br />
In this scenario the veterinary fence is moved back and grazing is expanded into the wetland area.<br />
Existing photographic tourism activities in and around Moremi continue and expand into a buffer area<br />
around the reserve, replacing commercial hunting to the west of the reserve. Commercial and<br />
communal hunting activities are precluded in the expanded grazing area.<br />
This may be somewhat different from Plantec et al.’s (2006) Option 1, in which land use is driven by<br />
comparative advantage of the different resources. The latter did not explicitly include shifting the<br />
veterinary fence, although it considered options for expanding economic growth without being<br />
hindered by current legislative constraints. Plantec et al.’s (2006) Option 1 basically follows existing<br />
land use in the Ramsar site, but emphasises the use of the rich natural resource base of the area in<br />
zoning land for various land use activities, with emphasis on economic growth.<br />
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Adjusted vet fence.shp<br />
Vet_fence_ngamiland.shp<br />
$ Camp_lodge_ngamiland.shp<br />
# Pop_by_settlement_study area.shp<br />
Ramsar_site_border.shp<br />
Moremi_game_reserve.shp<br />
Contr_hunting_border_ngamiland.shp<br />
Flora_generalised_okavango.shp<br />
Cloud and shadow/Unclassified<br />
Dry Floodplains and Island interiors<br />
Grassed Shrubland in Dune Valleys with Terminalia and Baphia<br />
Shrubbed Grassland on former Floodplain<br />
Shrubbed Grassland with Sagebush<br />
Shrubbed Woodland of Riparian zones<br />
Shrubbed Woodland with mixed Mophane<br />
Shrubland towards Dune Crests with Burkea and Baikiae<br />
Swamp vegetation with fringing emergents<br />
Treed Grassland on former Floodplain<br />
Treed Shrubland with Acacia<br />
N<br />
100 0 100 Kilometers<br />
W<br />
S<br />
E<br />
Figure 9-1. Change in position of the veterinary fences under Scenario 1. Expanded agriculture<br />
9.3.2 Scenario 2. Expanded protection<br />
This scenario places emphasis on the conservation of the Ramsar site, with particular emphasis on<br />
the delta wetlands as the most sensitive area. The delta wetland area is proclaimed as a national<br />
park, but lodges are located both within and around the park, as at present. The main difference from<br />
present is that there is no consumptive use of resources (e.g. reed collection, fishing or hunting)<br />
within the national park. Throughout the rest of the Ramsar site, use of natural resources will be<br />
controlled at sustainable levels.<br />
In Scenario 2b, we consider no hunting throughout the Ramsar site.<br />
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