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16 APPENDIX 4. THE SAFARI HUNTING ENTERPRISE<br />

MODEL<br />

DELTA STUDY<br />

FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC MODEL - HIGH QUALITY AREA SAFARI HUNTING - NGAMILAND 2006 - BASE CASE<br />

ASSUMPTIONS*<br />

Production System: 8 bed, up-market lodge offering all inclusive, guided, wildlife hunts.<br />

Site:<br />

High quality, unfenced area with riparian, wetland and woodland setting and mixed population of<br />

Okavango delta species on quota.<br />

Game Density: 100% 6.41 LSU Equivalents/Sq. Km. or, 16 Hectares per LSU Equivalent<br />

Carrying Capacity: 100% 0.010 Tourist Beds/Sq. Km. or, 10000 Ha. per Tourist Bed<br />

Concession Size: 80000 Hectares or, 800 Square Kilometres (Share of larger area)<br />

Tourist Category: Overseas 95% Regional 5% Resident 0% Citizen 0%<br />

Average Group Size: 1.5 Hunters 1 Observers 0.5<br />

Occupancy Rate: Overall 18% No. of 12 to 21 Day Hunts = 16 Total = 241 Hunter Days<br />

Daily Tariffs (N$): 100% Overseas 8736 Regional 8736 Resident 8736 Citizen 8736<br />

Observer's Tariff as Percent of Full Price: 50%<br />

Capital Item Prices: 100% (Variation from Normal for Sensitivity Analysis)<br />

Capital Sources: 100% Loan = 25% Equity = 75% and: 100% Foreign 25% Domestic 75%<br />

Interest Rates: Rate for Capital Loans: 10% Rate for Working Capital Loans: 15%<br />

Working Capital as Proportion of Annual Operating Costs: 20%<br />

Park Entry Fees: 100% Fee per Tourist Night/Day: N$ 0.00<br />

Land Rental and Resource Royalty (N$): 100% Rental: 2.75 per Ha. 100% Royalty: 4% of Turnover<br />

Personpower Needs: 100% Managers 3 Skilled Labour 4 Unskilled Labour 5<br />

100% Management: Foreign 50% Citizen 50%<br />

Shadow Wage Adjustment: 100% Managers 1.00 Skilled Labour 1.00 100% Unskilled Labour 0.50<br />

Foreign Exchange Premium: 100% 6% Adjustment Factor = 1.06<br />

Tax Adjustments: 100% General Sales Tax: 11% Import Taxes: from SACU: 0% to SACU: n/a<br />

Discount Rates: 100% Financial Discount Rate: 8% Economic Discount Rate: 8%<br />

Static models depict enterprise at full production. Static financial model includes interest, amortisation<br />

government fees, royalties and land rentals. Static economic model takes foreign<br />

inflows and outflows into account, excludes other interest and transfers and values<br />

enterprise in economic prices before land and government costs<br />

Dynamic models presented over 5 and 10 years, to measure IRR and NPV. Financial dynamic model, at constant<br />

prices, excludes interest and depreciation, and includes asset residual values.<br />

Economic model includes foreign inflows and outflows, and measures value of enterpise<br />

in economic prices before inclusion of land costs and public expenditures.<br />

* Shaded cells indicate degree of conformity with base case values. Underlined shaded cells can be changed<br />

107

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