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Xenophon Paper 2 pdf - ICBSS

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y the Hellenic Republic was presented at the informal meeting of the BSEC Committee<br />

of Senior Officials at Sinaia, Romania, on 3 February 2006.<br />

The parallel efforts by the BSEC side led mainly by Greece (as the only EU member state<br />

of the BSEC at that time) and by the EU institutions led to the release of the Communication<br />

by the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on ‘Black Sea Synergy<br />

– A New Regional Cooperation Initiative’ 26 and the successful application of the<br />

Commission to an observer status with the Organisation (June 2007).<br />

What to expect next<br />

Broader geopolitical developments (e.g. the evolution of the Russian foreign policy in<br />

its ‘near abroad’ and beyond, energy security, war against terrorism, etc.) along with<br />

the state of affairs in the ‘frozen conflicts’ will undoubtedly determine the framework<br />

within which the Black Sea policy of Greece is to be shaped. Some key factors however<br />

which are more particular to the Black Sea case and need to be considered when<br />

thinking ahead on Greece’s Black Sea policy are summarised hereafter.<br />

Deepening of economic relations with the northern neighbours. Greece’s policy towards<br />

the Black Sea has developed primarily as part of its foreign economic relations. Evidence<br />

to that can be seen in the section dealing with the BSEC within the Greek Ministry of<br />

Foreign Affairs being under the Economic Diplomacy division. The economic rationale<br />

of Greece’s engagement with the region is to be strengthened along with the further<br />

deepening of economic relations between Greece and its northern neighbours as<br />

witnessed by an increase in trade and investments flows. The more interdependent<br />

Greek economic interests and the Black Sea business climate become, the more active<br />

Greek policy towards the Black Sea is to become.<br />

The EU factor in the evolution of the Russian and the Turkish Black Sea policy. The<br />

evolution of the Russian-EU affairs are fundamental for the future of the Black Sea region.<br />

As the core of the Black Sea area constitutes the ‘near abroad’ for Russia and the ‘new<br />

neighbourhood’ for the EU, any policy targeting the area has to acknowledge the<br />

dynamics of the interface of the relevant policies of these two dominant actors. The<br />

Black Sea is to constitute a bridge zone where multilateralism will flourish once the<br />

interests of the local states, the EU and Russia are all accommodated or it is to become<br />

a difficult area to operate in if those interests were to clash.<br />

26 Commission of the European Communities (2007), Black Sea Synergy – A New Regional Cooperation Initiative,<br />

[COM(2007) 160 final], Brussels, 11 April.<br />

27 For the elements that make the BSEC a credible partner see Manoli, Panagiota (2006), Reflecting on the<br />

BSEC: Achievements, Limitations and the Way Forward, Policy Brief, no. 1, <strong>ICBSS</strong>, Athens, June. Available on<br />

http://www.icbss.org.<br />

X E N O P H O N P A P E R no 2 81

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