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Xenophon Paper 2 pdf - ICBSS

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Turkish foreign policy on the other hand, has been significantly influenced by the<br />

requirements of EU accession. The evolution of Turkish relations with the EU will bear<br />

an impact on the employment of multilateralism in its vicinity. Past evidence has shown<br />

that regionalism either in Central Asia or the wider Black Sea has been used by Turkey<br />

to upgrade its geopolitical weight within the Euroatlantic family. A positive climate in<br />

EU-Turkish relations will underline a more constructive regional approach by the latter<br />

(i.e. in view of the Europeanization process that has already started in the countries of<br />

the region) and will allow new opportunities for further Greek-Turkish common stands<br />

and initiatives in this neighbourhood. A disillusionment with the EU accession might<br />

provoke a ‘return’ and more intense engagement of Turkey in its Northern and Northeast<br />

neighbourhood which would require a reassessment also on behalf of Greece.<br />

The emergence of a consolidated ‘Black Sea’ front within the EU structures. Greece<br />

along mainly with the new EU comer, Romania, and much less with Bulgaria (the latter<br />

being inactive in the BSEC – EU cause) has lobbied systematically within the EU organs<br />

for the adoption of a Black Sea synergy as a regional dimension of EU policies towards<br />

the Black Sea. Since 2007, it is for the first time that the Black Sea voice within the EU<br />

is strengthened and it is justified that the three countries mentioned above will be<br />

expected to join efforts to make the Black Sea Synergy working. Greece thus in acting<br />

as a bridge between the EU and the BSEC will no more be alone and its policy will have<br />

to balance the views of Romania and Bulgaria. It remains to be seen how the three<br />

countries will cooperate within the EU framework and formulate a common view of and<br />

common stand on how to implement the Black Sea Synergy and especially what the<br />

role of the BSEC and the other regional structures of the Black Sea is going to be.<br />

The prospects of other regional initiatives and the evolution of the Organisation of the<br />

BSEC. Though Greece has been supporting multilateralism in the Black Sea, it has put<br />

its political weight mainly behind the BSEC as the most credible regional partner. 27<br />

Despite current positive signs on the role that the BSEC might contribute to the overall<br />

stability and development of the region, its added value and relevance still needs to be<br />

proven. Greece, as an EU member state, will be facing increasingly more challenges in<br />

the definition of the EU’s policy towards the region especially in devising multilateral and<br />

regional tools of EU engagement. Whether the BSEC will undertake the necessary<br />

reforms and set its own comprehensive strategy and agenda will also determine its<br />

value in Greece’s Black Sea policy. Other regional schemes that have emerged -<br />

competitive or complementary to the BSEC - might need to be re-assessed not only by<br />

Greece but also by all other players in the area.<br />

Regional affairs in the Balkan area will remain central in Greece’s foreign policy<br />

considerations and increasingly in Greece – EU affairs since slowly Southeast Europe<br />

becomes integrated in the EU. Nevertheless, the new neighbourhood of Greece is the<br />

82 UNFOLDING THE BLACK SEA ECONOMIC COOPERATION VIEWS FROM THE REGION

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