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Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence

Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence

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Tables<br />

1.1 Global foreign exchange market turnover 5<br />

1.2 Volumes <strong>and</strong> volatility of foreign exchange turnover 5<br />

1.3 Currency distribution of reported foreign exchange market<br />

turnover 6<br />

1.4 Coefficients of variation of exchange rates <strong>and</strong> fundamentals 21<br />

1.5 <strong>Exchange</strong> rate regime classifications 29<br />

2.1 Engle–Granger two-step cointegration tests 54<br />

2.2 Multivariate cointegration tests of PPP 55<br />

6.1 Summary of different monetary models 137<br />

6.2 Cointegration results for the monetary model 145<br />

6.3 Cointegration results for the mark–dollar exchange rate 146<br />

6.4 Dynamic forecast statistics 151<br />

6.5 SEM equations: United Kingdom 154<br />

6.6 Dynamic forecasting performance 155<br />

6.7 Forecasting performance from a tripolar model 156<br />

6.8 Root mean square error ratios for the monetary model of<br />

La Cour <strong>and</strong> MacDonald 156<br />

7.1 Some currency substitution evidence 192<br />

8.1 Restricted cointegrating vectors for the Japanese yen effective<br />

exchange rate 211<br />

12.1 FIML estimation results 1890/02–1908/12 308

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