References 415 Dornbusch,R. (1987),‘<strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Prices’,American Economic Review,77,93–106. Dornbusch,R. (2001),‘Fewer Monies,Better Monies’,NBER Working Paper No. 8324. Dornbusch,R. <strong>and</strong> S. Fischer (1980),‘<strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s <strong>and</strong> the Current Account’,American Economic Review,70,960–71. Dornbusch,R. <strong>and</strong> P. Krugman (1978),‘Flexible <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s in the Short Run’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,3,357–84. Drazen,A. (1999),‘Political Contagion in Currency Crises’,NBER Working Paper No. 7211,National Bureau of Economic Research. Driskell,R.A. (1981),‘<strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Dynamics: An Empirical Investigation’,Journal of Political Economy,89(2),357–71. Driskell,R.A. <strong>and</strong> S.M. Sheffrin (1981),‘On the Mark: Comment’,American Economic Review, 71,1068. Driver,R. (2000),‘Evaluating Alternative <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Regimes’,mimeo,Bank of Engl<strong>and</strong>. Driver,R. <strong>and</strong> S. Wren-Lewis (1998),‘Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s for the Year 2000’ (mimeo, Washington,DC: Institute for International <strong>Economics</strong>). Driver,R. <strong>and</strong> S. Wren-Lewis (1999),‘FEERs: A Sensitivity Analysis’,in R. MacDonald <strong>and</strong> J. Stein (eds), Equilibrium <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s (Boston,MA: Kluwer). Duarte,M. (2003),‘Why Don’t Macroeconomic Quantities Respond to <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Variability?’, Journal of Monetary <strong>Economics</strong>,50,889–913. Duarte,M. <strong>and</strong> A.C. Stockman (2005),‘Rational Speculation <strong>and</strong> <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s’,Journal of Monetary <strong>Economics</strong>,52,3–29. Dumas,B. (1988),‘Pricing Physical Assets Internationally’,NBER Working Paper No. 2569. Dumas,B. (1992),‘Dynamic Equilibrium <strong>and</strong> the Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> in a Spatially Separated World’, Review of Financial Studies,5,153–80. Easley,D. <strong>and</strong> M. O’Hara (1992),‘Time <strong>and</strong> the Process of Security Price Adjustment’, Journal of Finance,American Finance Association,19,64–90. Eastwood,R.K. <strong>and</strong> A.J. Venables (1982),‘The Macroeconomic Implications of a Resource Discovery in an Open Economy’, The Economic Journal,92,285–99. Edison,H.J. (1985),‘Purchasing Power Parity: A Quantitative Reassessment of the 1920s Experience’, Journal of International Money <strong>and</strong> Finance,4 (September),361–72. Edison,H.J. (1987),‘Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run: A Test of the Dollar/Pound <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> (1890–1978)’, Journal of Money, Credit <strong>and</strong> Banking,19 (August),376–87. Edison,H.J. <strong>and</strong> B. Diane Pauls (1993),‘A Re-assessment of the Relationship between Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Real Interest <strong>Rate</strong>s: 1974–90’, Journal of Monetary <strong>Economics</strong>, 31 (April),165–87. Edison,H.J. <strong>and</strong> R. MacDonald (2003),‘Credibility <strong>and</strong> Interest <strong>Rate</strong> Discretion in the ERM’, Open Economies Review,14,351–68. Edison,H.J. <strong>and</strong> W.R. Melick (1995),‘Alternative Approaches to Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Real Interest <strong>Rate</strong>s: Three Up <strong>and</strong> Three Down’,Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,International Finance Papers No. 518. Edison,H.J.,P. Luangaram <strong>and</strong> M. Miller (1998),‘Asset Bubbles,Domino Effects <strong>and</strong> “Lifeboats”: Elements of the East Asian Crisis’,CEPR Discussion Paper No. 1866. Edwards,S. (1982),‘<strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s,Market Efficiency <strong>and</strong> New Information’,<strong>Economics</strong> Letters,9,377–82. Edwards,S. (1983),‘<strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s <strong>and</strong> “News”: A Multi-currency Approach’,Journal of International Money <strong>and</strong> Finance,3,211–24. Edwards,S. (1989),Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s, Devaluation, <strong>and</strong> Adjustment (Cambridge,MA: MIT Press).
416 References Edwards,S. <strong>and</strong> I. Magendzo (2003),‘A Currency of One’s Own? An Empirical Investigation on Dollarization <strong>and</strong> Independent Currency Unions’,NBER Working Paper No. 9514. Edwards,S. <strong>and</strong> E. Yeyati (2003),‘Flexible <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s as Shock Absorbers’,NBER Working Paper No. 9867. Egert,B.,L. Halpern <strong>and</strong> R. MacDonald (2005),‘Equilibrium <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues’,CEPR Working Paper No. 4809. Journal of Economic Surveys,20,257–324. Eichenbaum,M. <strong>and</strong> C.L. Evans (1995),‘Some Empirical <strong>Evidence</strong> on the Effects of Shocks to Monetary Policy on <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s’, Quarterly Journal of <strong>Economics</strong>,101, 975–1009. Eichengreen,B.,A. Rose <strong>and</strong> C. Wyplosz (1995),‘<strong>Exchange</strong> Market Mayhem: The Antecedants <strong>and</strong> Aftermath of Speculative Attacks’, Economic Policy,21,249–312. Elbadawi,I. (1994),‘Estimating Long-Run Equilibrium Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s’,in J. Williamson (ed.), Fundamental Equilibrium <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s (Washington,DC: International <strong>Economics</strong> Institute). El-Gamal,M.A. <strong>and</strong> D. Ryu (2006),‘Short Memory <strong>and</strong> the PPP Hypothesis’,Journal of Economic Dynamics <strong>and</strong> Control,30,361–91. Enders,W. (1988),‘ARIMA <strong>and</strong> Cointegration Tests of PPP under Fixed <strong>and</strong> Flexible <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Regimes’, Review of <strong>Economics</strong> <strong>and</strong> Statistics (August 1988),504–08. Engel,C. (1993),‘Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Relative Prices: An Empirical Investigation’, Journal of Monetary <strong>Economics</strong>,32,35–50. Engel,C. (1994),‘Tests of CAPM on an International Portfolio of Bonds <strong>and</strong> Stocks’,in J. Frankel (ed.), The Internationalisation of Equity Markets (Chicago,IL: University of Chicago Press). Engel,C. (1996a),‘Long-run PPP may not Hold after all’,National Bureau of <strong>Economics</strong>, Working Paper No. 5646. Engel,C. (1996b),‘The Forward Discount Anomaly <strong>and</strong> the Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent <strong>Evidence</strong>’, Journal of Empirical Finance,3,123–92. Engel,C. (1999),‘Accounting for US Real <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Changes’,Journal of Political Economy,107,507–38. Engel,C. (2000a),‘Long-run PPP may not Hold after all’,Journal of International <strong>Economics</strong>, 57,243–73. Engel,C. (2000b),‘Local Currency Pricing <strong>and</strong> the Choice of <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Regime’, European Economic Review,44,1449–72. Engel,C. <strong>and</strong> J. Frankel (1984),‘Why Interest <strong>Rate</strong>s React to Money Supply Announcements: An Explanation from the Foreign <strong>Exchange</strong> Market’, Journal of Money Credit <strong>and</strong> Banking,17,321–7. Engel,C. <strong>and</strong> A.P. Rodriguez (1989),‘Tests of International CAPM with Time Varying Covariances’, Journal of Applied Econometrics,4,119–38. Engel,C. <strong>and</strong> A.P. Rodriguez (1993),‘Tests of Mean Variance Efficiency of International Equity Markets’, Oxford Economic Papers,45,403–21. Engel,C. <strong>and</strong> J.H. Rogers (1996),‘How Wide is the Border?’,American Economic Review, 86,1112–25. Engel,C. <strong>and</strong> K.D. West (2004),‘Accounting for <strong>Exchange</strong> <strong>Rate</strong> Variability in Present Value Models when the Discount Factor is Nearer One’,NBER Working Paper No. 10267. Engel,C.,M.K. Hendrickson <strong>and</strong> J.H. Rogers (1997),‘Intranational,Intracontinental,<strong>and</strong> Intraplanetary PPP’, Journal of the Japanese <strong>and</strong> International Economies,11,480–501.
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Exchange Rate Economics Exchange Ra
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Firstpublished2007 by Routledge 2Pa
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Contents List of figures List of ta
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Figures 1.1 The balance of payments
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Figures 13.6 Fourth generation spec
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Preface This book is the second edi
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2 Introduction Although the textboo
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4 Introduction (orders to buy/sell
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6 Introduction Table 1.3 Currency d
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8 Introduction a truly flexible exc
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10 Introduction this has to be sati
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12 Introduction likely that the rel
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14 Introduction or F (1 + i) = S (1
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16 Introduction Consider now a fall
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18 Introduction The empirical evide
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20 Introduction (mean and variance)
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22 Introduction (a) (b) 0.3 0.25 0.
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24 Introduction clusters or that it
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26 Introduction 0.1 0.05 0 -0.05 -0
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28 Introduction 1.9 Exchange rate r
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30 Introduction fixed versus flexib
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32 Introduction influences. For exa
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34 Introduction 1.11 The determinan
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36 Introduction In the standard OCA
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38 Introduction most transactions i
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40 Purchasing power parity and the
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42 Purchasing power parity and the
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44 Purchasing power parity and the
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46 Purchasing power parity and the
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48 Purchasing power parity and the
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50 Purchasing power parity and the
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52 Purchasing power parity and the
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54 Purchasing power parity and the
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56 Purchasing power parity and the
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58 Purchasing power parity and the
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60 Purchasing power parity and the
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62 Purchasing power parity and the
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64 Purchasing power parity and the
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66 Purchasing power parity and the
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3 The economics of the PPP puzzle I
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70 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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72 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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74 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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76 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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78 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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80 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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82 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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84 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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86 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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88 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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90 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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92 The economics of the PPP puzzle
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4 The flexible price monetary appro
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96 The flexible price monetary appr
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98 The flexible price monetary appr
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100 The flexible price monetary app
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102 The flexible price monetary app
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104 The flexible price monetary app
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5 The sticky-price monetary model I
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108 The sticky-price monetary model
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110 The sticky-price monetary model
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112 The sticky-price monetary model
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114 The sticky-price monetary model
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116 The sticky-price monetary model
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118 The sticky-price monetary model
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120 The sticky-price monetary model
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122 The sticky-price monetary model
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124 The sticky-price monetary model
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126 The sticky-price monetary model
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128 The sticky-price monetary model
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130 The sticky-price monetary model
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132 The sticky-price monetary model
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6 The monetaryapproach to the excha
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136 Empirical evidence on the monet
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138 Empirical evidence on the monet
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140 Empirical evidence on the monet
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142 Empirical evidence on the monet
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144 Empirical evidence on the monet
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146 Empirical evidence on the monet
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148 Empirical evidence on the monet
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150 Empirical evidence on the monet
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152 Empirical evidence on the monet
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Table 6.5 SEM equations: United Kin
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156 Empirical evidence on the monet
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158 Empirical evidence on the monet
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160 Empirical evidence on the monet
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162 Empirical evidence on the monet
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164 Empirical evidence on the monet
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7 Currencysubstitution models and t
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168 Currency substitution and portf
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170 Currency substitution and portf
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172 Currency substitution and portf
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174 Currency substitution and portf
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176 Currency substitution and portf
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178 Currency substitution and portf
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180 Currency substitution and portf
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182 Currency substitution and portf
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184 Currency substitution and portf
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186 Currency substitution and portf
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188 Currency substitution and portf
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190 Currency substitution and portf
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192 Currency substitution and portf
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194 Currency substitution and portf
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196 Currency substitution and portf
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198 Currency substitution and portf
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200 Real exchange rate determinatio
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202 Real exchange rate determinatio
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204 Real exchange rate determinatio
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206 Real exchange rate determinatio
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208 Real exchange rate determinatio
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210 Real exchange rate determinatio
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212 Real exchange rate determinatio
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214 Real exchange rate determinatio
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216 Real exchange rate determinatio
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218 Real exchange rate determinatio
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220 Real exchange rate determinatio
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222 Real exchange rate determinatio
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224 Real exchange rate determinatio
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226 Real exchange rate determinatio
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228 Equilibrium exchange rates rate
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230 Equilibrium exchange rates A nu
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232 Equilibrium exchange rates long
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234 Equilibrium exchange rates 5.1
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236 Equilibrium exchange rates term
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238 Equilibrium exchange rates 0.30
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240 Equilibrium exchange rates Detk
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242 Equilibrium exchange rates US i
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244 Equilibrium exchange rates The
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246 Equilibrium exchange rates 9.6.
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248 Equilibrium exchange rates 9.6.
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250 Equilibrium exchange rates Conc
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252 The new open economy macroecono
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254 The new open economy macroecono
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256 The new open economy macroecono
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258 The new open economy macroecono
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260 The new open economy macroecono
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262 The new open economy macroecono
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264 The new open economy macroecono
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266 The new open economy macroecono
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268 The new open economy macroecono
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270 The new open economy macroecono
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272 The new open economy macroecono
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11 The new open economy macroeconom
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276 The new open economy macroecono
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278 The new open economy macroecono
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280 The new open economy macroecono
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282 The new open economy macroecono
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284 The new open economy macroecono
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286 The new open economy macroecono
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288 The new open economy macroecono
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290 Target zone models 12.1 The bas
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292 Target zone models stochastic c
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294 Target zone models moves from 2
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296 Target zone models where A 1 an
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298 Target zone models expected dev
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300 Target zone models % expected d
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302 Target zone models MacDonald (2
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304 Target zone models for the DM-l
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306 Target zone models explicit ban
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308 Target zone models Table 12.1 F
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310 Target zone models short-term i
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312 Target zone models the UK short
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314 Speculative attack models and c
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316 Speculative attack models and c
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318 Speculative attack models and c
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320 Speculative attack models and c
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322 Speculative attack models and c
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324 Speculative attack models and c
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326 Speculative attack models and c
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328 Speculative attack models and c
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330 Speculative attack models and c
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332 Speculative attack models and c
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334 Speculative attack models and c
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336 Speculative attack models and c
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338 Speculative attack models and c
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340 Market microstructure approach
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342 Market microstructure approach
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344 Market microstructure approach
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346 Market microstructure approach
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348 Market microstructure approach
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350 Market microstructure approach
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352 Market microstructure approach
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354 Market microstructure approach
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356 Market microstructure approach
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358 Market microstructure approach
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360 Market microstructure approach
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362 Market microstructure approach
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- Page 381 and 382: 366 Market microstructure approach
- Page 383 and 384: 368 Market microstructure approach
- Page 385 and 386: 15 Spot and forward exchange rates
- Page 387 and 388: 372 Spot and forward exchange rates
- Page 389 and 390: 374 Spot and forward exchange rates
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- Page 393 and 394: 378 Spot and forward exchange rates
- Page 395 and 396: 380 Spot and forward exchange rates
- Page 397 and 398: 382 Spot and forward exchange rates
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- Page 411 and 412: Notes 1 Introduction: some basic co
- Page 413 and 414: 398 Notes 4 Although the split betw
- Page 415 and 416: 400 Notes 3 The fact that the utili
- Page 417 and 418: 402 Notes 15 This result is familia
- Page 419 and 420: 404 Notes 6 Where ∫ ∞ vg(v) E(v
- Page 421 and 422: 406 References Artis,M. and M. Lewi
- Page 423 and 424: 408 References Bergin,P.,R. Glick a
- Page 425 and 426: 410 References Calvo,G.A. and C.A.
- Page 427 and 428: 412 References Clark,P.B. and R. Ma
- Page 429: 414 References Detken,C.,A. Dieppe,
- Page 433 and 434: 418 References Fischer,S. (2001),
- Page 435 and 436: 420 References Frieden,J.P.G. and E
- Page 437 and 438: 422 References Granger,C.W. and T.
- Page 439 and 440: 424 References Hooper,P. and J. Mor
- Page 441 and 442: 426 References Kearney,C. and R. Ma
- Page 443 and 444: 428 References Lewis,K. (1988),‘T
- Page 445 and 446: 430 References MacDonald,R. (2002),
- Page 447 and 448: 432 References Mark,N.C. (2001),Int
- Page 449 and 450: 434 References Obstfeld,M. and K. R
- Page 451 and 452: 436 References Roll,R. (1979),‘Vi
- Page 453 and 454: 438 References Tauchen,G.E. and M.
- Page 455 and 456: Index Abadir,K. 389 Abuaf,N. 60 Adl
- Page 457 and 458: 442 Index Diba,B. 177-8 Dickey,D.A.
- Page 459 and 460: 444 Index Gagnon,J. 212 Gali,J. 128
- Page 461 and 462: 446 Index Miller,M.H. 120,123,128,1
- Page 463 and 464: 448 Index purchasing power parity (
- Page 465: 450 Index trade: interbank trade 34