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Financial Sector Development in Africa: Opportunities ... - World Bank

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200 Dafe<br />

Although the current consensus on activism provides a positive perspective<br />

on the role of government <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets and offers a promis<strong>in</strong>g<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t for th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g about how to raise f<strong>in</strong>ance for <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Africa</strong>, a major drawback rema<strong>in</strong>s: the associated policy implications are<br />

not quite clear. It is recognized that activism can work <strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, but it<br />

is not clear under what conditions governments are will<strong>in</strong>g to pursue and<br />

capable of pursu<strong>in</strong>g activist policies successfully. When do political leaders<br />

choose a governance structure that, on the one hand, resists political capture<br />

by private <strong>in</strong>terests, and, on the other, avoids public authorities us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

their political power <strong>in</strong> a way that merely benefits the state apparatus, politicians,<br />

or their political supporters? It seems clear that without good governance<br />

conceived <strong>in</strong> this way, government <strong>in</strong>terventions will rarely be<br />

successful. However, although it has become part of ma<strong>in</strong>stream economic<br />

th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g that it is necessary to “get the political conditions right” before any<br />

type of government <strong>in</strong>tervention, assess<strong>in</strong>g ex ante whether a state will<br />

demonstrate adequate governance is less straightforward. This makes it difficult<br />

for donors to direct their resources for the support of activist policies<br />

only to those governments that are likely to implement them successfully.<br />

A large body of literature on the welfare economics argues <strong>in</strong> favor of<br />

government <strong>in</strong>terventions, but there is little research that tries to contribute<br />

to a positive theory of activism—that is, a concept that helps assess<br />

ex ante whether a state has the will<strong>in</strong>gness and capacity to pursue activist<br />

policies successfully. The small body of research <strong>in</strong> political economy that<br />

explores the determ<strong>in</strong>ants of f<strong>in</strong>ancial policy mak<strong>in</strong>g has taken up this<br />

challenge, advanc<strong>in</strong>g us closer to such a concept of effective activism.<br />

Through its focus on endogenous policy choices, a political economy<br />

perspective would not only help to evaluate the chances for success of an<br />

activist approach, but could also <strong>in</strong>form policy mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> those countries<br />

that currently lack adequate governance to pursue activist policies successfully.<br />

There is a high added value to country-level political economy<br />

research that explores the potential of activism, because it would allow<br />

prioritiz<strong>in</strong>g avenues for reform and, as a consequence, would offer more<br />

effective guidance for policy makers.<br />

Activism as a Tool to Increase F<strong>in</strong>ance for Private<br />

Investment: A Political Economy Perspective<br />

Contrast<strong>in</strong>g the positive experiences with activism <strong>in</strong> Northeast Asia<br />

with the failures <strong>in</strong> many <strong>Africa</strong>n countries highlights the <strong>in</strong>fluence of<br />

politics on the effectiveness of activist policies and the need to study the

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