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Hedge funds and Private Equity - PES

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4. Conclusion: New Social Europe <strong>and</strong> the financial<br />

markets – increasing contradictions!<br />

In summarising our analyses in Part I, it is essential to underst<strong>and</strong> that “the alternative investment<br />

industry” in the financial markets is not a phenomenon of marginal importance or just<br />

another time-limited “bubble” of interests, which will go away sooner or later.<br />

The HF <strong>and</strong> PE <strong>funds</strong> are dominant <strong>and</strong> fast growing actors in the European <strong>and</strong> global capital<br />

markets.<br />

Until recently, PE <strong>and</strong> HF only had real influence in the UK <strong>and</strong> Irish financial markets, as well as<br />

Luxembourg <strong>and</strong> Lichtenstein. This has changed fundamentally in the past ten years. The direction<br />

is clear. The big international <strong>funds</strong>, especially those based in the USA <strong>and</strong> the UK, have<br />

now really engaged in Europe, acquiring an increasing number of ever larger companies <strong>and</strong><br />

projects on our continent.<br />

The figures speak for themselves: in the period 2002-2005 the PE <strong>funds</strong> invested 165 billion<br />

Euros in companies in Europe. In the single year of 2006, the target volume was 270 bn Euros.<br />

In 2007 the PE industry is planning for 580 take-overs worth of 380 bn Euros. Given that the<br />

average leverage compared to acquisition price is 75%, we can estimate the total volume of<br />

potential buy-out capacity at around 1,500 bn Euros.<br />

All the nuances of our analysis in part I suggest that the trends <strong>and</strong> developments of PE <strong>and</strong> HF<br />

have very clear common characteristics <strong>and</strong> implications.<br />

The rapid growth of the hedge fund industry is also raising important questions about systemic<br />

risks ie. the risk of destabilisation of the financial markets, market abuse, i.e. potential market<br />

price manipulation <strong>and</strong> insider trading, <strong>and</strong> misbehaviour in shareholder activism.<br />

<strong>Hedge</strong> <strong>funds</strong> have shown impressive growth to become a very important alternative investment<br />

instrument – for good <strong>and</strong>, unfortunately, also for bad – not only the risk of their destabilising the<br />

financial markets but also that its interests conflict with corporate business’s need for long-term<br />

investment in the global economic competition. The international character of hedge fund<br />

industry <strong>and</strong> its de facto unregulated activities, challenge our societies <strong>and</strong> authorities.<br />

The possible implications of hedge <strong>funds</strong> for financial stability are not only a problem for the<br />

hedge <strong>funds</strong>. If its risks are realised the consequences will be dire for corporate industries,<br />

employment, <strong>and</strong> other investment, well as pensioners’ savings.<br />

The PE industry, especially LBO <strong>funds</strong>, poses a number of serious questions to Europeans, their<br />

real economies <strong>and</strong> national policy makers. LBO activities have worrying implications for job<br />

creation, companies’ investments in training <strong>and</strong> education of the labour force, innovation, <strong>and</strong><br />

corporate governance. They also have disturbing implications for public finances, the evolution<br />

of stock markets <strong>and</strong> protection of wage earners money in pension <strong>funds</strong>. Of equal concern are<br />

extreme management fees <strong>and</strong> the LBOs’ aggression towards target managements.<br />

All in all, there is a straightforward argument for reducing the risks <strong>and</strong> negative implications<br />

associated with the increasing role of HF <strong>and</strong> PE <strong>funds</strong> in the financial system. There has always<br />

been a good case for regulating banks <strong>and</strong> investment banks <strong>and</strong> other financial actors – why<br />

should hedge <strong>funds</strong> <strong>and</strong> private equity be any exception?<br />

Part I – <strong>Hedge</strong> <strong>funds</strong> <strong>and</strong> private equity <strong>funds</strong> – how they work<br />

97

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