A Greater Australia: Population, policies and governance - CEDA

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Section 2.3Table 5Australian States and Territories: Natural Increase, Net Overseas Migration,Net Interstate Migration and Total Population Growth, Financial Years,1996–2001, 2001–06 and 2007–11State/TerritoryNatural increase Net overseas migration Net interstate migrationNumberPer cent ofgrowthNumber1996–2001Per cent ofgrowthNumberPer cent ofgrowthTotalpopulationgrowthNew South Wales 244,414 60.9 243,869 60.8 –86,925 –21.7 401,358Victoria 166,298 53.6 141,572 45.6 2332 0.8 310,202Queensland 149,510 41 88,129 24.2 126,659 34.8 364,298South Australia 39,745 118 19,621 58.7 –25,950 –77.7 33,416Western Australia 84,107 47.6 79,144 44.8 13,361 7.6 176,612Tasmania 14,184 385.1 1550 42.1 –19,417 –527.2 –3683Northern Territory 16,662 87.4 4172 21.9 –1773 –9.3 19,061Australian CapitalTerritory17,510 199.7 –453 –5.2 –8287 –94.5 8770Australia* 732,649 56 576,221 44 1,308,8702001–2006New South Wales 191,089 79 192,582 79.6 –139,330 –56.3 241,965Victoria 143,880 44.5 142,892 44.2 –2.197 –0.7 323,584Queensland 132,050 28.5 129,944 28.1 164,362 35.5 462,600South Australia 28,179 49.9 27,522 48.7 –12,639 –22.4 56,476Western Australia 68,668 43.5 82,832 52.5 –1.399 –0.9 157,886Tasmania 10,026 58.5 3758 21.9 3105 18.1 17,137Northern Territory 13,862 107.4 3475 26.9 –8474 –65.7 12,906Australian CapitalTerritory13,531 90.8 2412 16.2 –6428 –43.1 14,908Australia* 601,389 46.7 585,421 45.4 1,288,2482007–11New South Wales 224,345 46 356,188 73 –92,930 –19.1 487,603Victoria 173,942 35 321,750 64.7 1858 0.4 497,550Queensland 177,203 36.2 227,368 46.4 85,246 17.4 489,817South Australia 35,658 40 71,865 80.6 –18,410 –20.7 89,113Western Australia 90,368 31.5 173,715 60.5 22,946 8 287,029Tasmania 12,071 58.6 8173 39.7 365 1.8 20,609Northern Territory 14,251 72.9 6489 33.2 –1195 –6.1 19,545Australian CapitalTerritory16,140 51.6 13,042 41.7 2120 6.8 31,302Australia* 744,060 38.7 1,178,614 61.3 – – 1,922,674* Includes other TerritoriesSource: ABS, 2002, 2007, 2011bA Greater Australia: Population, Policies and Governance81
Section 2.3Table 6Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide: Estimated Components ofPopulation Change, 1996–2001 and 2001–06NaturalincreaseNetinternationalmigrationNet internalmigrationTotalmigrationTotalpopulationincrease1996–2001Sydney 000s 149 168 –61 107 256Per cent 58.2 65.6 –23.8 41.8 100Melbourne 000s 109 108 11 119 228Per cent 47.8 47.4 4.8 52.2 100Brisbane 000s 58 31 50 81 139Per cent 41.7 22.3 36 58.3 100Perth ‘000s 47 40 9 49 96Per cent 49 41.7 9.4 51 100Adelaide ‘000s 22 9 –4 5 27Per cent 81.5 33.3 –14.8 18.5 1002001–2006Sydney 000s 159 84 –121 –37 122Per cent 130.3 68.9 –99.2 –30.3 100Melbourne 000s 121 124 –19 105 226Per cent 53.5 54.9 –8.4 46.5 100Brisbane 000s 66 27 43 70 136Per cent 48.5 19.9 31.6 51.5 100Perth ‘000s 49 53 3 56 105Per cent 46.7 50.5 2.9 53.3 100Adelaide ‘000s 21 22 –10 12 33Per cent 63.6 66.7 –30.3 36.4 100Source: ABS unpublished dataexperienced by the nation’s two largest cities, dwarfed by the net gain of immigrantsfrom overseas, which accounted for more than half of this expansion. However, duringthe 1976–96 period, a quite different pattern was evident, with a substantial net internalmigration loss being recorded in both large cities, although international migrationremained an important source of growth, especially in Sydney.Some differences are evident in the most recent decade. In 1996–2001 there was areduced net loss in Sydney, perhaps associated with the growth created by the 2000Olympic Games. However, since then the massive net interstate migration losses haveresumed. In Melbourne there were small net interstate migration gains in 1996–2001but a net out-migration of 18,000 in 2001–06. Hence Sydney, and to a much lesserextent Melbourne, have been important sources of internal migrants to the rest ofAustralia while the fact that international migrants have disproportionately settled inAustralia’s two largest cities has been the major migration driver of their growth.A Greater Australia: Population, Policies and Governance82
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A Greater Australia:Population, pol
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ContentsForeword CEDA Chief Executi
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ForewordIt is with pleasure that I
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IntroductionResponding to the resul
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IntroductionA more dynamic and vita
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IntroductionSustainabilityConcern a
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IntroductionThe new demographics, h
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Section 1.0Historical perspectives1
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Section 1.1IntroductionJapan’s cr
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Section 1.1Figure 1Forecast number
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Section 1.1Table 1Defence spending
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Section 1.1How much defence is enou
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Section 1.1ConclusionA substantial
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Section 1.2There has been over a ce
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Section 1.2Resource constraints wer
Page 32 and 33: Section 1.2Similarly, in the 1994 H
Page 34 and 35: Section 1.2ReferencesAustralia, Dep
Page 36 and 37: Section 1.3IntroductionAustralia is
Page 38 and 39: Section 1.3The grey 90sThe heady ex
Page 40 and 41: Section 1.3Taylor’s stony rebutta
Page 42 and 43: Section 1.3Figure 1The Benhamite Op
Page 44 and 45: Section 1.3In mathematical terms, t
Page 46 and 47: Section 1.3characterisation of the
Page 48 and 49: Section 1.3ConclusionA retrospectiv
Page 50 and 51: Section 2.0Population futures2.1 Fo
Page 52 and 53: Section 2.1Conventional population
Page 54 and 55: Section 2.1It is more useful for go
Page 56 and 57: Section 2.1Forecasting of births, w
Page 58 and 59: Section 2.1Future net overseas migr
Page 60 and 61: Section 2.13). This had a lot to do
Page 62 and 63: Section 2.2IntroductionIn late Sept
Page 64 and 65: Section 2.2Figure 1The migrant cont
Page 66 and 67: Section 2.2The visa and residency s
Page 68 and 69: Section 2.2sponsorship, subject to
Page 70 and 71: Section 2.2Figure 3Historical and p
Page 72 and 73: Section 2.2The views in this chapte
Page 74 and 75: Section 2.3IntroductionThe Australi
Page 76 and 77: Section 2.3Figure 3Australia: Distr
Page 78 and 79: Section 2.3Table 2Australia: Popula
Page 80 and 81: Section 2.3Table 4Views of Australi
Page 84 and 85: Section 2.3A number of hypotheses h
Page 86 and 87: Section 2.3Table 8Australia: Distri
Page 88 and 89: Section 2.3Table 10Non-Metropolitan
Page 90 and 91: Section 2.3Policy issuesThe configu
Page 92 and 93: Section 2.3Climate change is likely
Page 94 and 95: Section 2.3ConclusionAny realistic
Page 96 and 97: Section 2.340 Swan, W., 2010.Austra
Page 98 and 99: Section 2.4IntroductionThe Australi
Page 100 and 101: Section 2.4At present there is a hi
Page 102 and 103: Section 2.4innovation initiatives w
Page 104 and 105: Section 2.4Endnotes1 Henry, K 2009,
Page 106 and 107: Section 2.5IntroductionAustralia is
Page 108 and 109: Section 2.5else. Even with a broad
Page 110 and 111: Section 2.5commercially viable - th
Page 112 and 113: Section 2.5A vast country like Aust
Page 114 and 115: Section 3.0Society and the individu
Page 116 and 117: Section 3.1Extent of public opinion
Page 119 and 120: Section 3.1category immigrant/forei
Page 121 and 122: Section 3.1The Environics Research
Page 123 and 124: Section 3.1Per cent100908070Figure
Page 125 and 126: Section 3.1A number of surveys soug
Page 127 and 128: Section 3.1Table 8Percentage who an
Page 129 and 130: Section 3.1A more precise indicatio
Page 131 and 132: Section 3.1The strongest predictor
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Section 3.1Endnotes1. There is also
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3.2Social inclusion and multicultur
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Section 3.2a broader definition of
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Section 3.2Figure 1Estimated povert
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Section 3.2Table 2Visa Type of Sett
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Section 3.2Table 5First Generation
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Section 3.2Table 6Australia: First
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Section 3.2Improving outcomes for v
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Section 3.2increasing diversity of
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3.3Linkages between education and p
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Section 3.3Education and productivi
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Section 3.3In the past decade, prod
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Section 3.3succeed in education or
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Section 3.3case, funding also could
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Section 3.3Endnotes1 IGR 2010: Chal
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3.4Healthcare delivery for our agei
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Section 3.4• Private medical serv
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Section 3.4the whole spectrum of in
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Section 3.45. Experiences, pathways
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Section 3.4Stratification of patien
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Section 3.4Other steps include impr
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Section 3.438 National Health Refor
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4.1The economic effects ofpopulatio
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Section 4.1population growth can ex
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Section 4.1In theory, the answer pa
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Section 4.1Kirchner concedes that t
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Section 4.1Endnotes1. Productivity
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4.2Urban infrastructure and land us
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Section 4.2bearing the fixed costs
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Section 4.2Figure 1Indicative dwell
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Section 4.2Taking the electricity,
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Section 4.2Promoting better land us
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Section 4.2preferences to homeowner
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Section 4.2in any Australian urban
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Section 4.2Endnotes1 Productivity C
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4.3Water security:Water for the far
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Section 4.3Water trading enables us
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Section 4.3cent of water entitlemen
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Section 4.3were either the full eco
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Section 4.3Strategic opportunitiesA
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4.4Critiquing governmentregional de
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Section 4.4However, there is often
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Section 4.4Potential policy interve
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Section 4.4Unfortunately, advocacy
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Section 4.4contribute substantially
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Section 4.418 Department of Educati
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5.1The future of population policyG
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Section 5.1a million fewer women in
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Section 5.1For the present, ongoing
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Section 5.1The second worry is that
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Section 5.1The now significantly de
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