A Greater Australia: Population, policies and governance - CEDA

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Section 2.340 Swan, W., 2010.Australia to 2050: Future Challenges, Intergenerational Report circulated by the Treasurer of the Commonwealth ofAustralia, January.41 Jackson, N. and Felmingham, B., 2002. As the Population Clock Winds Down: Indicative Effects on Australia’s States and Territories,Journal of Population Research, 19, 2, pp. 97–117.42 Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), 2010. Water Account Australia 2008–09, Catalogue No. 4610.0, ABS, Canberra.43 Holz, G.K., Grose, M.R., Bennett, J.C., Corney, S.P., White, C.J., Phelan, D., Potter, K., Kriticos, D., Rawnsley, R., Parsons, D., Lisson, S.,Gaynor, S.M. and Bindoff, N.L., 2010. Climate Futures for Tasmania: Impacts on Agriculture. Technical Report, The Antarctic Climate anEcosystems Cooperative Research Centre, Hobart.44 Barr, N., 2004. The Micro-Dynamics of Change in Australian Agriculture, 1976–2001, Australian Census Analytic Program, ABS.45 Troy, P. (ed.), 2008. Troubled Waters: Confronting the Water Crisis in Australia’s Cities, ANU E Press.46 Holmes, J.W., 1973. Water Resources of Australia and the Pattern of Population Concentrations. National Population InquiryCommissioned Paper No. 14.47 Daley, J. and Lancy, A., 2011. Investing in Regions: Making a Difference, Grattan Institute, Melbourne.A Greater Australia: Population, Policies and Governance95
2.4Climate change in Australia:Implications for populationDon GunasekeraDr Don Gunasekera is currently a Senior Economist at CSIRO (CommonwealthScientific and Industrial Research Organisation) in Canberra. Until recently he wasthe Chief Economist at the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics(ABARE). In 2008, Don led ABARE’s climate change modelling work for the GarnautClimate Change Review. In 2007, he was a member of an independent workinggroup for the Prime Minister’s Science, Engineering and Innovation Council (PMSEIC)which prepared a report on Climate change in Australia: Regional impacts andadaptation. Don has had wide experience in the Australian Public Service working in a range of organisationsincluding the Productivity Commission, National Competition Council, Department of Environment andHeritage and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. He has a PhD in Economics from the Australian NationalUniversity and has completed the Senior Managers in Government Program at Harvard University.A Greater Australia: Population, Policies and Governance96
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A Greater Australia:Population, pol
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ContentsForeword CEDA Chief Executi
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ForewordIt is with pleasure that I
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IntroductionResponding to the resul
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IntroductionA more dynamic and vita
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IntroductionSustainabilityConcern a
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IntroductionThe new demographics, h
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Section 1.0Historical perspectives1
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Section 1.1IntroductionJapan’s cr
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Section 1.1Figure 1Forecast number
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Section 1.1Table 1Defence spending
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Section 1.1How much defence is enou
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Section 1.1ConclusionA substantial
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Section 1.2There has been over a ce
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Section 1.2Resource constraints wer
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Section 1.2Similarly, in the 1994 H
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Section 1.2ReferencesAustralia, Dep
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Section 1.3IntroductionAustralia is
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Section 1.3The grey 90sThe heady ex
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Section 1.3Taylor’s stony rebutta
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Section 1.3Figure 1The Benhamite Op
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Section 1.3In mathematical terms, t
Page 46 and 47: Section 1.3characterisation of the
Page 48 and 49: Section 1.3ConclusionA retrospectiv
Page 50 and 51: Section 2.0Population futures2.1 Fo
Page 52 and 53: Section 2.1Conventional population
Page 54 and 55: Section 2.1It is more useful for go
Page 56 and 57: Section 2.1Forecasting of births, w
Page 58 and 59: Section 2.1Future net overseas migr
Page 60 and 61: Section 2.13). This had a lot to do
Page 62 and 63: Section 2.2IntroductionIn late Sept
Page 64 and 65: Section 2.2Figure 1The migrant cont
Page 66 and 67: Section 2.2The visa and residency s
Page 68 and 69: Section 2.2sponsorship, subject to
Page 70 and 71: Section 2.2Figure 3Historical and p
Page 72 and 73: Section 2.2The views in this chapte
Page 74 and 75: Section 2.3IntroductionThe Australi
Page 76 and 77: Section 2.3Figure 3Australia: Distr
Page 78 and 79: Section 2.3Table 2Australia: Popula
Page 80 and 81: Section 2.3Table 4Views of Australi
Page 82 and 83: Section 2.3Table 5Australian States
Page 84 and 85: Section 2.3A number of hypotheses h
Page 86 and 87: Section 2.3Table 8Australia: Distri
Page 88 and 89: Section 2.3Table 10Non-Metropolitan
Page 90 and 91: Section 2.3Policy issuesThe configu
Page 92 and 93: Section 2.3Climate change is likely
Page 94 and 95: Section 2.3ConclusionAny realistic
Page 98 and 99: Section 2.4IntroductionThe Australi
Page 100 and 101: Section 2.4At present there is a hi
Page 102 and 103: Section 2.4innovation initiatives w
Page 104 and 105: Section 2.4Endnotes1 Henry, K 2009,
Page 106 and 107: Section 2.5IntroductionAustralia is
Page 108 and 109: Section 2.5else. Even with a broad
Page 110 and 111: Section 2.5commercially viable - th
Page 112 and 113: Section 2.5A vast country like Aust
Page 114 and 115: Section 3.0Society and the individu
Page 116 and 117: Section 3.1Extent of public opinion
Page 119 and 120: Section 3.1category immigrant/forei
Page 121 and 122: Section 3.1The Environics Research
Page 123 and 124: Section 3.1Per cent100908070Figure
Page 125 and 126: Section 3.1A number of surveys soug
Page 127 and 128: Section 3.1Table 8Percentage who an
Page 129 and 130: Section 3.1A more precise indicatio
Page 131 and 132: Section 3.1The strongest predictor
Page 133 and 134: Section 3.1Endnotes1. There is also
Page 135 and 136: 3.2Social inclusion and multicultur
Page 137 and 138: Section 3.2a broader definition of
Page 139 and 140: Section 3.2Figure 1Estimated povert
Page 141 and 142: Section 3.2Table 2Visa Type of Sett
Page 143 and 144: Section 3.2Table 5First Generation
Page 145 and 146: Section 3.2Table 6Australia: First
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Section 3.2Improving outcomes for v
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Section 3.2increasing diversity of
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3.3Linkages between education and p
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Section 3.3Education and productivi
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Section 3.3In the past decade, prod
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Section 3.3succeed in education or
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Section 3.3case, funding also could
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Section 3.3Endnotes1 IGR 2010: Chal
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3.4Healthcare delivery for our agei
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Section 3.4• Private medical serv
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Section 3.4the whole spectrum of in
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Section 3.45. Experiences, pathways
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Section 3.4Stratification of patien
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Section 3.4Other steps include impr
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Section 3.438 National Health Refor
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4.1The economic effects ofpopulatio
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Section 4.1population growth can ex
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Section 4.1In theory, the answer pa
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Section 4.1Kirchner concedes that t
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Section 4.1Endnotes1. Productivity
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4.2Urban infrastructure and land us
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Section 4.2bearing the fixed costs
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Section 4.2Figure 1Indicative dwell
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Section 4.2Taking the electricity,
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Section 4.2Promoting better land us
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Section 4.2preferences to homeowner
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Section 4.2in any Australian urban
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Section 4.2Endnotes1 Productivity C
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4.3Water security:Water for the far
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Section 4.3Water trading enables us
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Section 4.3cent of water entitlemen
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Section 4.3were either the full eco
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Section 4.3Strategic opportunitiesA
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4.4Critiquing governmentregional de
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Section 4.4However, there is often
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Section 4.4Potential policy interve
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Section 4.4Unfortunately, advocacy
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Section 4.4contribute substantially
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Section 4.418 Department of Educati
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5.1The future of population policyG
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Section 5.1a million fewer women in
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Section 5.1For the present, ongoing
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Section 5.1The second worry is that
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Section 5.1The now significantly de
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