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(DTIS) Update, Volume 1 – Main report - Enhanced Integrated ...

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Box 4.1 (continued)Table 4.1: price-gap regression resultsEstimator Within Within Within WithinDep. Var.ln (gap) percent gap tariff-corrected gap(1) (2) (3) (4)Tariff 0.000 0.037(0.00) (0.04)Burundi -0.560 -57.008 -64.481 -69.283(2.88)*** (3.52)*** (4.41)*** (3.17)***NTM coverage ratios, by typeCoverage ratio, A 0.042 1.942 2.652 2.966(1.62) (0.98) (1.03) (0.96)Coverage ratio, B -0.005 0.396 5.398 -0.690(0.19) (0.19) (1.92)* (0.22)Coverage ratio, C -0.005 -1.456 -7.972 -0.849(0.19) (0.68) (3.08)*** (0.24)Coverage ratio, D -0.022 0.793 2.386 -1.897(0.69) (0.29) (0.68) (0.37)Coverage ratio, E -0.000 -0.488 3.165 0.088(0.01) (0.18) (0.82) (0.02)NTM cov. ratios interacted with Burundi dummyCoverage ratio, A × Burundi 0.143 21.082 19.142 18.599(0.83) (1.46) (1.48) (1.03)Coverage ratio, B × Burundi 0.314 31.967 29.052 34.510(1.85)* (2.29)** (2.29)** (2.30)**Coverage ratio, C × Burundi 0.079 12.422 19.180 12.027(0.42) (0.67) (1.21) (0.88)Coverage ratio, E × Burundi 0.115 14.252 9.602 13.829(0.39) (0.48) (0.34) (0.55)COL adjustment 1.246 1.028(15.96)*** (14.02)***Constant -1.305 -3.722 2.510 7.857(19.90)*** (0.66) (1.67) (1.22)Observations 1260 1260 1260 1260Number of groups (icpcode) 42 42 42 42R-squared (within) 0.32 0.30 0.03 0.08Note: Robust t-statistics clustered at the product level in parentheses; * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%;*** significant at 1%. All regressions include product fixed effects.Source: Mission estimation using price data from the World Bank’s International Price Comparison Project (IPCP)and the World Bank/UNCTAD NTM database.2.3 <strong>Main</strong> issues on the ground2.3.1 A major but uneasy transition in the fiscal environmentBurundi is currently in the midst of a major transition of its fiscal environment. This transition isfrom an informal, weak-State economy in which taxation, heavily reliant on border taxes, was haphazardand largely avoided, to a more formal one where the State asserts its authority, imposes the fiscaltraceability of transactions, and tries to regulate economic activity. Under strong leadership, the OfficeBurundais des Recettes (OBR) is actively reaching out to broaden the tax base, contesting establishedpractices and applying the newly-established VAT to transactions that used to go without a trace. 87Box 4.2: rent-seeking, loopholes, and anticompetitive practices87 The OBR’s creation was one of the recommendations of the 2004 <strong>DTIS</strong>.80 / 153

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