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J. C. Penney Company, Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis As of ...

J. C. Penney Company, Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis As of ...

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This particular stock price in our sensitivity analysis used a WACC <strong>of</strong> 8.72 percent<strong>and</strong> a growth rate <strong>of</strong> 5.9 percent. From here, we can begin to draw conclusions<strong>and</strong> form a sensitivity analysis.The free cash flows model shows us, like many <strong>of</strong> our other models, thatthe firm is overvalued at June 1, 2007. Most <strong>of</strong> our conclusions draw on the factthe firm is overvalued. The few that fell into the firm being fairly valued, +/- 15percent, required a weighted average cost <strong>of</strong> capital <strong>of</strong> 8 percent <strong>and</strong> growthrates ranging from 5.9 to 6.5 percent. Once again, this model relays that J. C.<strong>Penney</strong> is an overvalued firm.Residual <strong>Inc</strong>ome ModelOf all the intrinsic valuation models, this is said to be the most accurate.This is explained by the very high percentage <strong>of</strong> the present value <strong>of</strong> residualincome in the overall value <strong>of</strong> the firm. Because this number is based <strong>of</strong>f <strong>of</strong>forecasted values <strong>of</strong> earnings rather than perpetuities, this model is a fairlyaccurate glace at the firm. Following is the sensitivity analysis <strong>and</strong> discussion <strong>of</strong>the residual income model in respect to J. C. <strong>Penney</strong>.Sensitivity <strong>Analysis</strong>Growth Rate0 -0.15 -0.25 -0.4 -0.50.05 127.8 78.08 72.55 68.87 67.530.07 79.18 60.3 57.55 55.62 54.98K e 0.09 53.73 47.22 46.07 45.22 44.90.11 38.62 37.45 37.21 37.02 36.950.1361 26.61 28.15 28.52 28.81 28.93Undervalued $94.29 Actual PPS (June 1, 2007): $81.99117

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