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J. C. Penney Company, Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis As of ...

J. C. Penney Company, Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis As of ...

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Balance Sheet <strong>Analysis</strong>When determining the future pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> J. C. <strong>Penney</strong>, we began by creating acommon-sized balance sheet to get a general idea <strong>of</strong> how the firm was performing compared tothe industry. We then used the industry averages as a benchmark <strong>and</strong> compared their numbersto those <strong>of</strong> J. C. <strong>Penney</strong>’s. This aided in the determination <strong>of</strong> which ratios to utilize in order toprovide us with the best estimations for the forecasting process.We began by looking at the asset portion <strong>of</strong> the balance sheet, ultimately deciding that ourtotal assets line was what we should use to base all <strong>of</strong> our other asset estimations. Thisdetermination was decided upon because obviously current <strong>and</strong> non-current assets should becombined <strong>and</strong> result in total assets. Looking at the industry average, we agreed that it would notbe the best number to base our assumptions on because our firm is relatively larger than that <strong>of</strong>most within the industry <strong>and</strong> should therefore have more assets.While looking at our asset turnover, which was determined to be 1.584, we noticed a trendover the previous two years <strong>and</strong> decided to use it in comparison to our already forecasted salesfor our income statement analysis. Once we determined our total assets, we then decided uponthe percentage <strong>of</strong> current <strong>and</strong> non-current assets based <strong>of</strong>f our forecasted total assets.Breaking up these two portions, we began analyzing total current assets. We determinedcash <strong>and</strong> short-term investments to be an average <strong>of</strong> the previous two years. They were higherthan the industry average because we have continuously been above the industry average.Because <strong>of</strong> the fact that our company is larger than others within the retail industry, we agreedthat this was a reasonable number. Accounts receivable turnover was based on the last year <strong>and</strong>applied to our forecasted sales from the income statement. We used the most recent A/Rturnover <strong>of</strong> 75.68 because it was approximately where the industry average should be. Theinventory turnover ratio used was based on the number given for the last year because it was ata stable level for the previous two to three years. We manipulated this equation to come up withinventory by using our already forecasted cost <strong>of</strong> goods sold. Total non-current assets was thendetermined based on our estimations <strong>of</strong> total current assets. Property <strong>and</strong> equipment wasassumed to be increasing because <strong>of</strong> the plans for expansion <strong>of</strong> our company within the next fewyears. We are thus converging toward the industry average.94

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