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European CommissionThe Second Economic Adjustment Programme for Greece. Fourth ReviewGraph 9. Greek 10y and 3m Bond Yield spread againstBund350030002500200015001000500b.p.02010 2011 2012 2013 2014Source: Bloomberg10y bond3m bondGraph 10. Athens Stock Exchange Indices3500Index3000250020001500100050002010 2011 2012 2013 2014ASE Banks Index ASE General IndexSource : Bloomberg13. The deleveraging in the banking sector has continued, while the liquidity position of creditinstitutions also continues to improve. The total balance sheet of Greek commercial banks hasexpanded in H1 2013 by 6.4% year-on-year, primarily due to the acquisition of Cypriot branches byPiraeus Bank. However, as of end-2013, the total balance sheet of the Greek commercial bankscontracted by a rate of 7.8% year-on-year. Following the significant improvement in the nine months toMarch-2013, partly reversed in the period around the Cypriot crisis, domestic deposits remainedbroadly stable throughout H2 2013, with a small decline in household deposits by 1.9% y-o-y in Q12014.14. Improvements in access to the international capital markets were observed as demonstrated bybond issuance by a bank for the first time since 2009 and successful share capital increases by twobanks, validating investors’ renewed trust in the Greek economy. In Q1 2014, one of the core bankssuccessfully tapped the debt capital markets as it placed a EUR 500 million three-year senior unsecuredbenchmark note at a yield of 5.125%. Investors’ demand, from 25 countries, surpassed the EUR 3billion level, implying that the bond offering was 6 times oversubscribed. The share capital increases bytwo banks in March 2014 have also proved successful, as international investors offered funds totallingEUR 5.4 billion euros, against EUR 2.95 billion sought.15. As a result of lowering their interest rate margin and tapping the international repo markets,Greek banks have substantially reduced their reliance on Eurosystem funding over the past fewquarters. In February 2014, total central bank borrowing (including ELA) stood at approximately EUR68 billion, materially below the historical high levels of 2012 of around EUR 130 billion. The mostrecent successful recourse to international debt and equity capital markets will also improve theliquidity position of Greek banks, helping them further reduce their reliance on central bank funding.16. Despite positive market reaction and the improvement of the economic climate, Greek bankscontinue to face the consequences of the recession and the inability of many borrowers to servicetheir debt obligations. Non-performing loans (NPLs) continue to rise, however the rate of newdelinquencies has moderated. It is yet to be determined to what extent the latter can be attributed to thenew personal insolvency framework. NPLs in 2013 reached 33.1% of total loans, up from 25.5% in2012. On the other hand, the NPL ratio for consumer credit decreased to 16% by end-2013 from 18%reported at end-2012 as well as for mortgages, which decreased marginally to 24% by end-2013 from25% at end-2012. Regarding business lending, the NPL ratio stood at 60% in end-2013 compared to57% at end-2012. The coverage of NPLs remained stable in 2013 at 49.2%. At the same time, credit 4 tothe domestic economy shrunk by approximately 4.2% year-on-year in 2013.4 Loans and advances to customers.18
2. Macroeconomic and financial developmentsGraph 11. Bank deposits250bn EURs27240230252202321020021190180191701716015015Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-146420-2-4-6Graph 12. Credit to private sector(% change, y-o-y)yoy %-82010 2011 2012 Jan-13 Jan-14Source: Bank of Greece.Total deposits (lhs)Sight deposits (rhs)Source: Bank of Greece.Households Enterprises Private sector(total)Graph 13. Total borrowing from theEurosystemGraph 14. Non-performing loans ratio180bn EURs35%16030140251202010015801060540Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-1302010 2011 2012 2013Source: IMF IFS (International Financial Statistics).Source: Banks' financial statements.19
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Page 5 and 6: OUTLINE OF THE REPORTEXECUTIVE SUMM
Page 7 and 8: LIST OF GRAPHSGraph 1. Economic cli
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4. Debt sustainability analysis and
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4. Debt sustainability analysis and
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Table 12. List of Milestones to be
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European CommissionThe Second Econo
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ANNEX 2: MACROECONOMIC FORECASTANNE
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ANNEXTable B1: USE AND SUPPLY OF GO
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ANNEXTable C1: FISCAL ACCOUNTS AND
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ANNEX 3: UPDATED PROGRAMME DOCUMENT
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Memorandum of Understanding on Spec
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OCCASIONAL PAPERSOccasional Papers
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No. 46No. 47No. 48No. 49The Western
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No. 80 2011 Pre-accession Economic
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No. 119No. 120No. 121No. 122Possibl
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No. 1582013 Economic and Fiscal Pro
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