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Behavioral Science

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Epidemiology and Research Design 201<br />

+<br />

Actual disease state<br />

–<br />

+<br />

a<br />

b<br />

Test result<br />

–<br />

c<br />

d<br />

Sensitivity = a/(a + c)<br />

Specificity = d/(b + d )<br />

PPV = a/(a + b)<br />

NPV = d/(c + d)<br />

a = True positives<br />

b = False positives<br />

c = False negatives<br />

d = True negatives<br />

All patients with disease = (a + c)<br />

All patients without disease = (b + d )<br />

All positive tests = (a + b)<br />

All negative tests = (c + d )<br />

Figure 26.1<br />

How is sensitivity calculated?<br />

How is specificity calculated?<br />

How is positive predictive value<br />

calculated?<br />

How is negative predictive value<br />

calculated?<br />

True positives divided by all of the<br />

individuals with a disease<br />

Sensitivity = a/(a + c)<br />

True negatives divided by all of the<br />

people without a disease<br />

Specificity = d/(b + d)<br />

True positives divided by all people<br />

with a positive test<br />

PPV = a/(a + b)<br />

True negatives divided by all people<br />

with a negative test<br />

NPV = d/(c + d)<br />

RESEARCH STUDY DESIGNS<br />

What is a prospective study?<br />

A research study that starts before<br />

the studied disease or outcome has<br />

happened, and usually monitors for<br />

its development.

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