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Archaeoseismology and Palaeoseismology in the Alpine ... - Tierra

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Table 1: Rockfall trigger<strong>in</strong>g c<strong>and</strong>idate events <strong>and</strong> evidence<br />

type*<br />

Age Cluster C<strong>and</strong>idate Trigger<strong>in</strong>g Event<br />

0.9 ±0.05 ka 1202 AD earthquake (his)<br />

1.5 ±0.05 ka 551 AD earthquake (his)<br />

2.2 ±0.05 ka 199 BC earthquake (his)<br />

2.7 ±0.05 ka** 759 BC earthquake<br />

(ps; his: book of Amos)<br />

4.0 ±0.7 ka ~2050 BC (ps); no historic data; †<br />

6.0 ±1.0 ka No ps data; †<br />

* Evidence types are: known historic earthquakes (his),<br />

paleoseismic evidence (ps)<br />

** Dashed l<strong>in</strong>e separates known historic earthquakes from<br />

unreported <strong>in</strong> history <strong>and</strong> prehistoric earthquakes<br />

† O<strong>the</strong>r evidence correlated to large (Mw 7 or more)<br />

earthquakes (Kagan et al., 2005; Yagoda‐Biran, 2008)<br />

C<strong>and</strong>idate earthquakes were selected from historical earthquake<br />

catalogs (Amiran et al., 1994; Guidoboni <strong>and</strong> Comastri, 2005;<br />

Guidoboni et al., 1994).<br />

Fig. 4: OSL ages <strong>and</strong> suggested rockfall triggers. OSL age<br />

results for <strong>the</strong> past 8000 years <strong>in</strong> black circles with error<br />

bars; ages of earthquakes determ<strong>in</strong>ed by Yagoda (2008) <strong>in</strong><br />

gray diamonds <strong>and</strong> by Kagan et al. (2005) <strong>in</strong> gray triangle;<br />

correspond<strong>in</strong>g dates of earthquakes suggested as rockfall<br />

triggers <strong>in</strong> gray l<strong>in</strong>es <strong>and</strong> labeled at top axis. Earthquakes<br />

selected from historical earthquake catalogs (Amiran et<br />

al., 1994; Guidoboni <strong>and</strong> Comastri, 2005; Guidoboni et al.,<br />

1994).<br />

SUMMARY<br />

We estimate rockfall hazard for <strong>the</strong> town of Qiryat‐<br />

Shemona, Dead Sea Transform, N. Israel. It is concluded<br />

that particular parts at SW of town are subject to rockfall<br />

hazard. Predicted block velocities <strong>and</strong> k<strong>in</strong>etic energy are<br />

10–15 m/s <strong>and</strong> 18,000–45,000 kJ, respectively (for block<br />

volumes of ca. 125 m 3 ). Accord<strong>in</strong>g to prelim<strong>in</strong>ary OSL age<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ation it is apparent that <strong>the</strong> rockfall events<br />

1 st INQUA‐IGCP‐567 International Workshop on Earthquake Archaeology <strong>and</strong> <strong>Palaeoseismology</strong><br />

72<br />

co<strong>in</strong>cide with selected M>6.5 earthquakes. Recurrence<br />

<strong>in</strong>terval for <strong>the</strong> events is 850 years, while <strong>the</strong> last rockfall<br />

probably triggered by <strong>the</strong> 1202 AD earthquake. For<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r read<strong>in</strong>g about <strong>the</strong> rockfall hazard estimation <strong>and</strong><br />

OSL age determ<strong>in</strong>ation discussed above, see Kanari<br />

(2008).<br />

References<br />

Amiran, D.H.K., Arieh, E. <strong>and</strong> Turcotte, T. (1994). Earthquakes <strong>in</strong><br />

Israel <strong>and</strong> Adjacent Areas ‐ Macroseismic Observations s<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

100 Bce. Israel Exploration Journal, 44(3‐4): 260‐305.<br />

Beg<strong>in</strong>, Z.B. (2005). Destructive earthquakes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Jordan Valley<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Dead Sea — <strong>the</strong>ir reoccurrence <strong>in</strong>terval <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

probability of <strong>the</strong>ir occurrence, Geol. Surv. Israel, Report<br />

GSI/12/2005.<br />

Dussauge‐Peisser, C. et al. (2002). Probabilistic approach to rock<br />

fall hazard assessment: potential of historical data analysis.<br />

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 2: 15‐26.<br />

Dussauge, C., Grasso, J.R. <strong>and</strong> Helmstetter, A.S. (2003). Statistical<br />

analysis of rockfall volume distributions: Implications for<br />

rockfall dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research‐Solid Earth,<br />

108(B6).<br />

Freund, R. et al. (1970). Shear Along Dead‐Sea Rift. Philosophical<br />

Transactions of <strong>the</strong> Royal Society of London Series a‐<br />

Ma<strong>the</strong>matical <strong>and</strong> Physical Sciences, 267(1181): 107‐130.<br />

Garfunkel, Z. (1981). Internal structure of <strong>the</strong> dead‐sea leaky<br />

transform (rift) <strong>in</strong> relation to plate k<strong>in</strong>ematics. Tectonophysics,<br />

80(1‐4): 81‐108.<br />

Guidoboni, E. <strong>and</strong> Comastri, A. (2005). Catalogue of earthquakes<br />

<strong>and</strong> tsunamis <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean area from <strong>the</strong> 11th to <strong>the</strong><br />

15th century. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia,<br />

Rome, 1037 pp.<br />

Guidoboni, E., Comastri, A. <strong>and</strong> Tra<strong>in</strong>a, G. (1994). Catalogues of<br />

Ancient Earthquakes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean Area up to <strong>the</strong> 10th<br />

Century. Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica, Roma, 504 pp.<br />

Guzzetti, F., Reichenbach, P. <strong>and</strong> Wieczorek, G.F. (2003). Rockfall<br />

hazard <strong>and</strong> risk assessment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Yosemite Valley, California,<br />

USA. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 3: 491‐503.<br />

Jones, C.L., Higg<strong>in</strong>s, J.D. <strong>and</strong> Andrew, R.D. (2000). Colorado<br />

Rockfall Simulation Program Version 4.0 Manual. CDOT‐SYMB‐<br />

CGS‐99‐1, Colorado Department of Transportation, Denver,<br />

CO 80222.<br />

Kagan, E.J., Agnon, A., Bar‐Mat<strong>the</strong>ws, M. <strong>and</strong> Ayalon, A. (2005).<br />

Dat<strong>in</strong>g large <strong>in</strong>frequent earthquakes by damaged cave<br />

deposits. Geology, 33(4): 261‐264.<br />

Kanari, M. (2008). Evaluation of rockfall hazard to Qiryat‐<br />

Shemona ‐ possible correlation to earthquakes. GSI/24/2008,<br />

Geol. Surv. Isr., Jerusalem.<br />

Keefer, D.K. (1984). L<strong>and</strong>slides caused by earthquakes. Geol Soc<br />

Am Bull, 95(4): 406‐421.<br />

Malamud, B.D., Turcotte, D.L., Guzzetti, F. <strong>and</strong> Reichenbach, P.<br />

(2004). L<strong>and</strong>slide <strong>in</strong>ventories <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir statistical properties.<br />

Earth Surface Processes <strong>and</strong> L<strong>and</strong>forms, 29(6): 687‐711.<br />

Yagoda‐Biran, G. (20080. Seismic hazard estimation along eastern<br />

marg<strong>in</strong>s of Sea of Galilee by back analysis of seismically<br />

<strong>in</strong>duced natural <strong>and</strong> structural failures. (In Hebrew).<br />

GSI/02/08, Geol. Surv. Isr., Jerusalem.

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