Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the ... - NEXTHYLIGHTS

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Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the Art Review Q1c Would you foresee the deployment of alternative bus platforms in the next 5 and 10 years? For example: 10m buses Articulated buses Double deck Which constraints/challenges would these platforms pose to fuel cell bus performance? We need to understand the dynamics of the market to better scope large demonstrations and early commercialisation activities. Currently the manufacturing capacity of certain bus manufacturers constrains the ability to scope roll outs (e.g., some manufacturers do not wish to deploy more than a finite number of buses in the next few years). Q1d Will the availability of fuel cell buses represent a constraint for large demonstration programmes in the next 2, 5 and 10 years? How do you expect overall manufacturing capacity for buses to evolve over the next decade? What is the process for increasing manufacturing capacity? Does this require a significant capital investment, or is it simply a case of using existing lines with minor modifications. What are the key factors which will influence a decision to ramp up production capacity and produce ‟commercial‟ hydrogen buses? Stakeholders‟ opinions on the foreseeable improvement of bus performance, lifetime and cost, are crucial for understanding the feasibility of large scale demonstrations and subsequent commercialisation across Europe. Figure 1, below, summarises our understanding of the historical capital cost of fuel cell buses between 2003 and 2010, together with three cost targets by 2015 for the purpose of comparison. These targets are described in Table 2, below. 118
Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the Art Review Table 20 Hydrogen Bus Alliance and Canadian targets on fuel cell buses capital cost Authority Capital cost target for fuel cell buses HBA upper: lower: US $ 1 million US $ 0.6 million Year 2015 Canada Industry US $ 0.85 million 2015 Q1d Would you agree with the costs ranges showed in Figure 1? And with the costs targets showed in Table 2? What is the current (2010-2011 orders) cost range of fuel cell buses in your opinion? We can identify three major technologies currently in competition with fuel cell buses: Diesel, Diesel Hybrid and Electric buses. Table 3, below, summarises their cost range. 119
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Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the ... - NEXTHYLIGHTS

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