Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the ... - NEXTHYLIGHTS

Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the Art Review
experience. In practice, different bus architectures require different technical
specifications for similar components. This may explain some of the variation in the
projections. Otherwise the range is likely due to the maturity of the supply chain and lack
of transparency on component pricing.
Figure 16 and Figure 17, below, summarise the information collected in Table 7 and
reproduce the bottom-up reconstruction of the cost of a 12m hybrid fuel cell bus in two
hybrid configurations (powered by a 150kW and 75kW FC system). We consider three
points in time:
The fuel cell bus costs between today and 2014, are based on the range of
component costs provided by stakeholders
Estimated bus costs between 2015 and 2018, assuming there is little benefit in fuel
cell prices from take up of automotive FC systems. This spread of prices in this path
reflects the uncertainty around the scale of procurement of FC buses before 2015,
with larger committed orders having the potential to drive costs to the lower bound
by reducing the uncertainty for fuel cell supplier and the bus OEM.
The bus cost in 2018 – 2022, reflecting the expected costs for a fuel cell system in a
market where large demand of automotive fuel cell systems is driven by the car
segment (> 10,000 fuel cell cars/year) or dedicated bus stacks have reduced in cost
due to increased volumes (1,000‟s of buses per year).
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