Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the ... - NEXTHYLIGHTS

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Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the Art Review Labour ~ $ 90,000 – 140,000/ bus Margin ~ 0% - 5% - - Risk Premium ~ 20% - 30% - Non Recurring Engineering costs TOTAL BUS Q2 Generally included in the risk premium ~ $ 1.6 – 2.2 million - - - - Assuming bus assembling and testing Driven by warranty length? Exchange rate assumed: €1= $1.4 Would you agree with the costs structure and values showed by Table 3? And with the lifetimes shown? Where you disagree, please provide estimates of the costs for each component, of their life and warranty. Q3 Which technical improvements/breakthroughs (e.g. weight, dimensions, durability, change of technology, etc.) would you envisage for the following components in the next 5 and next 10 years? Chassis, Body, Fuel Cell modules, Cooling System, Energy Storage Systems, Hydrogen Storage Tanks, Control Power Electronics To what extent would these improvements affect cost, lifetime and warranty targets of these components? Components Indicative Cost 2015 (US $) Chassis and body ~ $ 200,000 – 300,000 Life / Warranty 2015 Cost Remarks 122
Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the Art Review Fuel Cell unit / bus unchanged ~$ 200 - 500/ kW (driven by automotive volume of ~ 10,000 cars/year) ~ $ 1,200 – 3,000 (for volume of hundreds buses/year) FC cooling System ~ $ 20,000/ bus Energy Storage system Hydrogen Storage System Power Electronics and Electric Motors Labour Margin Risk Premium Non Recurring Engineering costs ~ $ 300 – 1,000 / kWh ~ $ 1,000 / kg ~ $ 100,000 – 200,000 / bus ~ $ 50,000 – 70,000 / bus Up to 20% Including risk premium and NRE Life target: 20,000 hours Cost unchanged Auto industry target is $300/kWh Again assumes volume from passenger cars Limited scope for cost reduction As low as $5,000 / bus for a fully standardised manufacturing process? 123
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Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus Technology State of the ... - NEXTHYLIGHTS

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