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This environmental impact assessment for Kriegers flak ... - Vattenfall

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panies on marine safety analyses. GL has calculated<br />

a so called basic collision risk, i.e. the risk of a ship<br />

colliding with the wind farm without regard <strong>for</strong> safety<br />

increasing measures. In this scenario, all collisions are<br />

considered, including those where a ship only touches<br />

a wind turbine without causing damage. The basic<br />

collision risk has been calculated to 0,004 collisions<br />

per annum, corresponding to a statistical interval of<br />

251 years. If safety increasing measures are taken into<br />

consideration, the statistical interval between two accidents<br />

increases to over 1 000 years. These numbers<br />

are considerably lower than <strong>for</strong> other wind projects. For<br />

more in<strong>for</strong>mation on the GL analysis, see Attachment<br />

12.1.<br />

The second risk analysis was carried out by SSPA.<br />

The analysis of GL mentioned above and the analysis<br />

that GL has made <strong>for</strong> the wind farm planned in the<br />

German economic zone, has been used as important<br />

basis <strong>for</strong> the SSPA study. SSPA has focused on what<br />

probably interests the public most, namely the risk of<br />

an accident that causes danger to nature or humans,<br />

<strong>for</strong> example through an oil spill. The risk of a collision<br />

that causes an oil spill has been calculated to 0,0006<br />

per annum by the SSPA, or about 1 700 years between<br />

collisions (to be compared to the number calculated <strong>for</strong><br />

the planned wind farm in the German economic zone,<br />

namely 580 years).<br />

The average oil spill has been estimated to be 3<br />

400 tons. With safety increasing measures, such as<br />

standby tugs, the risk is reduced to 0,00015 collisions<br />

per annum or about 6 700 years between collisions (see<br />

Attachment 12.2).<br />

The risk of humans being hurt because the ship<br />

that they are on collides with the wind farm has been<br />

estimated to 0,000002 per annum, or one in every 500<br />

000 years, provided that no safety increasing measures<br />

are taken. A comparison with European ferry trafÞ c<br />

shows that the collision risk between a ferry and the<br />

wind farm is considerably lower. With safety increasing<br />

measures, such as AIS and trafÞ c control, the risk<br />

<strong>for</strong> human accidents reduces to 0,0000005 per annum,<br />

or one every 2 000 000 years.<br />

More details can be found in Attachment 12.2.<br />

12.8.3 Mitigating measures<br />

The safety increasing measures recommended by the<br />

SSPA will be proposed by Sweden Offshore and deci-<br />

CONSEQUENSES OF THE WIND FARM 143<br />

sions in this matter will be taken in consultation with<br />

affected authorities.<br />

12.8.4 Assessment<br />

ASSESSMENT CRITERIA<br />

Very big <strong>impact</strong> (high value – high <strong>impact</strong>)<br />

• The structure is a permanent hazard to international<br />

shipping, i.e. existing shipping lanes<br />

have to be moved (permanent hazard, > one<br />

generation).<br />

Big <strong>impact</strong> (high value – reasonable <strong>impact</strong>/reasonable<br />

value – high <strong>impact</strong>)<br />

• The structure is a temporary hazard to international<br />

shipping, i.e. existing shipping lanes have<br />

to be moved (< one generation).<br />

• The structure is a permanent hazard <strong>for</strong> other<br />

shipping, i.e. ships moving outside of shipping<br />

lanes (> one generation).<br />

Reasonable <strong>impact</strong> (reasonable value – reasonable<br />

<strong>impact</strong>)<br />

• The structure has an <strong>impact</strong> on international<br />

shipping, i.e. disturbs the traffi c compared<br />

with today.<br />

• The structure is a temporary hazard <strong>for</strong> other<br />

shipping, i.e. ships moving outside shipping<br />

lanes.<br />

Small <strong>impact</strong> (reasonable risk – minor <strong>impact</strong>/minor<br />

risk – reasonable <strong>impact</strong>).<br />

• The structure has little <strong>impact</strong> on international<br />

shipping, i.e. disturbs traffi c a little compared<br />

with today.<br />

• The structure causes <strong>impact</strong> on other shipping,<br />

i.e. ships that move outside of shipping lanes.<br />

Minor/no <strong>impact</strong> (minor value – minor <strong>impact</strong>)<br />

• The structure has minor or no <strong>impact</strong> on shipping<br />

in the area.<br />

Conclusion<br />

As shipping lanes are at a safe distance, the wind farm<br />

will cause little <strong>impact</strong> <strong>for</strong> international shipping.<br />

The wind farm will be a temporary hazard <strong>for</strong> trafÞ c<br />

outside the shipping lanes. <strong>This</strong> is however dependent<br />

on that trafÞ c will be <strong>for</strong>bidden within the wind farm<br />

area.

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