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This environmental impact assessment for Kriegers flak ... - Vattenfall

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60 THE ZERO ALTERNATIVE<br />

10. The Zero Alternative<br />

The zero alternative will describe how the situation will develop over time if the project is not<br />

realized (EC chapter 6, §7).<br />

10.1 National energy supply<br />

According to <strong>for</strong>ecasts from STEM, the demand <strong>for</strong><br />

electricity on the Swedish market will continue to rise<br />

at the same pace it has <strong>for</strong> the past ten years. <strong>This</strong> will<br />

lead to that Sweden will continue to be a net importer<br />

of electricity as the current Swedish production capacity<br />

will not be enough.<br />

The pictures below show the import <strong>for</strong> 2003 and<br />

the expected level of import <strong>for</strong> 2007 (Nordel 2004).<br />

The pictures show that the imported electricity primarily<br />

comes from Poland and Germany. The zero alter-<br />

Energy balance according to Nordel <strong>for</strong> 2003 and 2007, Nordel 2004.<br />

native there<strong>for</strong>e results in that the marginal electricity<br />

produced from fossil and bio fuels will increase.<br />

10.2 Environmental <strong>impact</strong><br />

10.2.1 Fossil fuels<br />

If the wind farm is not built and the electricity instead<br />

is produced from fossil fuels, the following burden will<br />

be put on the environment:

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