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Chapter 2.5<br />
114<br />
peginterferon and nucleos(t)ide analogues as initial treatment options 20, 22-23 , but the<br />
optimal choice for individual patients remains controversial. Due to the higher chance<br />
of disease relapse after treatment discontinuation peginterferon is relatively less often<br />
prescribed to HBeAg-negative as compared to HBeAg-positive patients. A treatment<br />
course with peginterferon should however be considered for HBeAg-negative patients<br />
with a high likelihood of response, because a fi nite treatment course can lead to an<br />
off-treatment SR. Otherwise prolonged or indefi nite treatment with a nucleos(t)ide<br />
analogue is likely. Unfortunately, baseline predictors of response to peginterferon are<br />
poorly defi ned in comparison with HBeAg-positive disease. 24-25 One study reported<br />
that baseline serum HBV DNA and ALT levels, patient age and gender, and infecting<br />
HBV genotype were signifi cantly associated with response to peginterferon alfa-2a with<br />
or without lamivudine therapy, 26 but this was not confi rmed in our patient population.<br />
Recent studies on peginterferon in HBeAg-negative patients have focussed on the<br />
identifi cation of markers allowing on-treatment prediction of response. 15-17<br />
We found that accurate prediction of SR to peginterferon for HBeAg-negative disease in<br />
an early treatment phase is not possible based on serum HBsAg levels alone. However,<br />
combining on-treatment declines in serum HBsAg and HBV DNA concentration resulted<br />
in a solid stopping rule. At week 12, the absence of a decline in HBsAg level combined<br />
with less than 2 log copies/mL decrease in HBV DNA level identifi ed a substantial proportion<br />
of the total study population (20%) in which therapy could be discontinued without<br />
losing sustained responders. In contrast, patients in whom both declines were present<br />
had the highest probability of SR (39%). This patient group should be encouraged to<br />
complete the 48-week treatment phase because they are the most likely group to benefi<br />
t from therapy. Table 2 provides recommendations for (dis)continuation of therapy for<br />
patient groups based on the chance of developing SR. Obviously, the fi nal decision to<br />
(dis)continue therapy is at the discretion of the treating physician, taking into account<br />
other factors like drug tolerability as well. Another important fi nding is that a guiding<br />
rule before 12 weeks of therapy could not be established because discrimination of<br />
Table 2. Recommendations for continuation of peginterferon alfa-2a therapy for HBeAg-negative CHB<br />
at week 12.<br />
Week 12 versus baseline<br />
HBsAg decline<br />
HBV DNA decline<br />
≥2 log copies/mL<br />
Chance of SR Recommendation to continue<br />
no no Absent stop<br />
no yes Intermediate continue<br />
yes no Intermediate continue<br />
yes yes High<br />
strong recommendation<br />
for continuation