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Exceptional Argentina Di Tella, Glaeser and Llach - Thomas Piketty

Exceptional Argentina Di Tella, Glaeser and Llach - Thomas Piketty

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country interacted with initial conditions (for example the relatively small size of the country’s<br />

internal market) to drive firms towards rent seeking <strong>and</strong> corruption. Slowly, the best business<br />

was not to be productive <strong>and</strong> sell goods abroad, but rather to lobby the government for State<br />

contracts. The <strong>Di</strong> <strong>Tella</strong> <strong>and</strong> Dubra chapter provides a glimpse of how some of these changes<br />

were interpreted by one of the main political forces (Perónism). Thus, there is surely some truth<br />

to the notion that global economic changes helped contribute to <strong>Argentina</strong>’s relatively slow rate<br />

of growth during the 20 th century. However, this hypothesis begs the question as to why<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong> did not move more quickly into other non-agricultural products. After all, every nation<br />

was at one point dominated by agriculture. The United States was, <strong>and</strong> like <strong>Argentina</strong> remains,<br />

an agricultural power. Yet other nations were able to transform themselves. The puzzle becomes<br />

ever tougher because from the 1950s onwards, <strong>Argentina</strong>’s leaders where dedicated towards<br />

pushing the country towards industrialization <strong>and</strong> development. Yet <strong>Argentina</strong> failed to evolve in<br />

a powerhouse in either industry or the sophisticated services that have become increasingly<br />

important in the last two decades.<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong>’s experience has also been characterized by a failure to develop into a significant<br />

industrial powerhouse, with little technological innovation <strong>and</strong> what appears to be relatively slow<br />

managerial progress. While <strong>Argentina</strong> was as rich as much of Europe as late as 1950, European<br />

countries managed to grow much more rapidly, primarily through the development of industry.<br />

Even more remarkably, East Asian economies, such as Japan <strong>and</strong> Korea, which were far poorer<br />

than <strong>Argentina</strong> through the 1960s, managed to dramatically pass <strong>Argentina</strong> carried on a wave of<br />

export-led growth.<br />

On one level, there can be no doubt that <strong>Argentina</strong> failed to follow the path of industrial exports<br />

on which Japan, Korea <strong>and</strong> Italy became rich. Certainly, <strong>Argentina</strong> failed to export significant<br />

industrial products <strong>and</strong> certainly, the nations that became industrial powerhouses also became<br />

rich. But why did <strong>Argentina</strong> fail to modernize along that dimension. One view is that the<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong> failure reflects bad politics <strong>and</strong> policies, as suggested by the second hypothesis. An<br />

alternative is that other, more economic, forces held <strong>Argentina</strong> back.<br />

For example, Alan Taylor (1998) has argued that <strong>Argentina</strong>’s low savings rate is responsible for<br />

its lackluster rate of growth. Over the past fifty years, the average savings rate as percent of GDP<br />

in <strong>Argentina</strong> was 21 percent. Germany <strong>and</strong> France averaged about 23 percent, in Austria 25<br />

percent, <strong>and</strong> Switzerl<strong>and</strong> close to 30; savings rate in Japan was about 32 percent. These<br />

differences could account for some of the growth gap between <strong>Argentina</strong> <strong>and</strong> the rest of the<br />

world. There was also a significant difference in human capital accumulation levels as well.<br />

According to the Barro-Lee data, average years of schooling in <strong>Argentina</strong> increased from slightly<br />

under five years in 1960 to 6.6 years in 1980 <strong>and</strong> 8.5 years in 2000. The “advanced country”<br />

average in their data set is more than seven years in 1960, 8.86 years in 1980 <strong>and</strong> 9.8 years in<br />

2000. Japan had 6.8 years of schooling in 1960, when it was still considerably poorer than<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong>, 8.2 years in 1980 <strong>and</strong> 9.7 years in 2000. Given the strong connection between growth<br />

<strong>and</strong> human <strong>and</strong> physical capital accumulation (Mankiw, Romer <strong>and</strong> Weil, 1992, Barro, 1993),<br />

perhaps <strong>Argentina</strong>’s lackluster growth performance isn’t that surprising.<br />

Moreover, there is evidence to suggest that technological innovation has also been fairly slow in<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong> during the last forty years. For example, the United National Industrial Development

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