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Exceptional Argentina Di Tella, Glaeser and Llach - Thomas Piketty

Exceptional Argentina Di Tella, Glaeser and Llach - Thomas Piketty

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There has also been some discussion in the literature about the distributive impact of<br />

minimum wage levels <strong>and</strong> their change. The minimum wage was an important<br />

variable bargained over by government <strong>and</strong> unions in the inflationary 1980s because<br />

it constituted a centralized device for recouping the erosion of price increases on the<br />

purchasing power of wages. In that sense, it is likely that through this channel<br />

increases in the minimum wage had an equalizing effect. The low inflation rates in<br />

1993-2001 implied a loss of relevance of the minimum wage, which was fixed in<br />

nominal terms at a low level from August 1993 to June 2003, <strong>and</strong> largely not binding<br />

over most of the period. The minimum wage increased substantially from July 2003,<br />

coinciding with the recovery of the economy, <strong>and</strong> it probably had an equalizing effect<br />

over the recovery period.<br />

The partial review of the previous paragraphs shows that the distributional impact of<br />

labor policies <strong>and</strong> reform during the 1990s is not a settled issue. Most of the measures<br />

were qualified as anti-labor, <strong>and</strong> the increase in employment <strong>and</strong> efficiency that<br />

justified them failed to materialize in many cases. However, disentangling the effect<br />

of each policy from that of concurrent reforms in the labor market <strong>and</strong> elsewhere<br />

might prove impossible.<br />

The Argentine labor market (<strong>and</strong> political l<strong>and</strong>scape) has been characterized by the<br />

presence of strong, industry wide unions, which played a significant role in shaping<br />

the country’s social, economic <strong>and</strong> political outlook, mainly through their relation<br />

with the Peronist party. Despite the importance of unions in the Argentine economy,<br />

there is only limited empirical evidence on their impact on wages <strong>and</strong> income, mostly<br />

because of data availability issues. 30<br />

There is a broad consensus about the inequality-reducing effects of the first Perón<br />

government’s pro-labor policies, in which the previous (relatively scattered) unions<br />

were centralized <strong>and</strong> greatly strengthened. 31 From the 1940s to the 1950s union<br />

membership increased markedly, from 30 percent to 51-65 percent for manufacturing<br />

workers, <strong>and</strong> from 24 to 38-41 percent for non-agricultural workers (Marshall, 2005).<br />

After this initial consolidation of large unions, it is highly likely that unions also had<br />

an overall equalizing effect in the 1950-1970 period, as in more advanced economies.<br />

The low levels of informality <strong>and</strong> high levels of union membership warranted a large<br />

fraction of beneficiaries from union activities, <strong>and</strong> the presence of high tariffs implied<br />

30 The EPH, an otherwise fine labor force survey, has never routinely collected information on union<br />

membership.<br />

31 The overall distributive effect of unions depends on the characteristics of union members, which is an<br />

empirical question. Membership premia might have equalizing effects if members are unskilled, low<br />

income workers, while the contrary is also possible if members are mostly skilled or semi-skilled. This<br />

is especially relevant in latter periods, with a labor force characterized by higher levels of informal<br />

workers.

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