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Exceptional Argentina Di Tella, Glaeser and Llach - Thomas Piketty

Exceptional Argentina Di Tella, Glaeser and Llach - Thomas Piketty

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Figure 6. Per capita GDP across Argentine regions<br />

25.000<br />

20.000<br />

Australia<br />

15.000<br />

Buenos Aires<br />

10.000<br />

5.000<br />

Other<br />

Pampas<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong><br />

Mexico<br />

Non-Pampas<br />

0<br />

1889<br />

1894<br />

1899<br />

1904<br />

1909<br />

1914<br />

1919<br />

1924<br />

1929<br />

1934<br />

1939<br />

1944<br />

1949<br />

1954<br />

1959<br />

1964<br />

1969<br />

1974<br />

1979<br />

1984<br />

1989<br />

1994<br />

1999<br />

Overall, it does seem that <strong>Argentina</strong>'s #11 rank in the late 1920s is too simplistic a measure to<br />

describe the real wealth of the nation. True, Argentine workers did share in <strong>Argentina</strong>'s<br />

prosperity, as real wages reflected the country's relatively high income per capita. On other<br />

dimensions, however, the picture is not as rosy. Though on the rise, <strong>Argentina</strong>'s health <strong>and</strong><br />

educational status were lower than what would be expected from its GDP numbers. Also,<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong> suffered some striking regional imbalances. One fourth of its population was living<br />

in regions that produced just over 10% of GDP, <strong>and</strong> whose per capita income was similar to<br />

that of Mexico, ie., less than half that of Buenos Aires.<br />

3. From Extensive to Intensive Growth, 1870-1930<br />

Out of the 57 countries for which Maddison has per capita GDP data for both 1870 <strong>and</strong> 1913,<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong> ranks #3 in economic growth between those dates (after Canada <strong>and</strong> Mexico). GDP<br />

per capita grew 2,12% annually. If we stretch the period to the 1920s, <strong>Argentina</strong> (2,07%) is<br />

second only to Venezuela. In terms of total GDP, <strong>Argentina</strong> is first both for 1870-1913<br />

(5,6%) <strong>and</strong> 1870-1928 (5,35%). For 1870-1913 the second is New Zeal<strong>and</strong> (4,31%) <strong>and</strong> for<br />

the larger period, Uruguay (3,78%). Given that most of the increase in population was due to<br />

the attraction of immigration from the Old World, the Argentine economy can well be<br />

described as the most dynamic in the world in the sixty years to 1930.<br />

Before entering into the mechanics of growth in terms of factor accumulation <strong>and</strong><br />

technological progress, it is worth asking what could have sparked such an impressive pace of<br />

economic progress. Clearly, growth can be described in some sense as "export-led".<br />

<strong>Argentina</strong> turned out to be a very open economy indeed: according to the Maddison data, for<br />

example, the country ranked third out of 30 in the ratio of export value (in current dollars) to<br />

GDP (PPP) in 1913, trailing only the better located Austria <strong>and</strong> Belgium; by 1929 <strong>Argentina</strong><br />

was still virtually sharing that third place with Canada <strong>and</strong> Belgium (following the smaller

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