Powertrain 2020 - The Future Drives Electric (PDF ... - Roland Berger

14 |
Study
The Chinese domestic automotive industry still lacks competitiveness in
internal combustion engine (ICE) technology. Consequently the government
has opted to establish short-term fuel efficiency targets that are not as strict
as those found elsewhere. Nevertheless, the government is aware of the
increasing importance of limiting oil imports to the transportation sector. In
January 2008, it increased the regulation on fuel consumption by an average
of 10% for each weight class used in the Chinese system. This tightening up
is expected to result in an estimated average fuel efficiency target of 7.25
liters per 100 km (assuming segment ratios will remain at the 2008 level).
For example, in 2008 a passenger car with a curb mass of 865-980 kg had
to show fuel consumption of less than 7.4 liters per 100 km. For comparison,
a 1.2-liter 44-kW Volkswagen Polo with a curb mass of 1,014 kg has
an average fuel consumption of 5.8 liters per 100 km.
How effective fleet emission targets are depends very much on the severity
of the penalties imposed. The European Union is currently in the process
of introducing penalties for OEMs that fail to meet the targets. The level of
these penalties increases with every extra gram of CO 2 emission above the
target, and will soon be the toughest in the world.