Powertrain 2020 - The Future Drives Electric (PDF ... - Roland Berger

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29 | "Powertrain 2020 – The Future Drives Electric" NORTH AMERICA In 2020, North American volume models will on average still be larger and more powerful than European models. However, in terms of technology they will probably have caught up with Europe. Four-valve cylinder heads with variable valve timing, turbochargers and downsizing, direct injection technologies, double-clutch transmissions and automatic gearboxes with six or more speeds will most likely become standard in the US market. Only stratified direct injection and cylinder deactivation are likely to have very different fitment rates from those seen in Europe. Lean combustion GDI will have a lower penetration rate due to lower fuel qualities. At the same time, cylinder deactivation will be more common than in Europe – larger pickups and SUVs are likely to use bigger engines than in Europe, but with deactivation technology to compensate for some of the higher CO 2 emissions. Three-cylinder engines in general will remain a niche application in North America. Mid-size vehicles will use four-cylinder engines almost exclusively. Large conventional models and compact SUVs will use turbocharged fourcylinder engines at the entry level and will rely on six-cylinder engines for high-end power needs. In large SUVs and pickups, six-cylinder engines will be standard.
Page 1: Michael Valentine-Urbschat, Dr. Wol
Page 4 and 5: 2 | Study Contents Executive summar
Page 6 and 7: 4 | Study 1. High-power and high-en
Page 8 and 9: 6 | Study Introduction There can be
Page 10 and 11: 8 | Study These developments have r
Page 12 and 13: 10 | Study To achieve this ambitiou
Page 14 and 15: 12 | Study 1.2 Regulatory framework
Page 16 and 17: 14 | Study The Chinese domestic aut
Page 18 and 19: 16 | Study 1.2.2 Support for resear
Page 20 and 21: 18 | Study 1.2.3 Steering demand In
Page 22 and 23: 20 | Study 1.2.4 Authorities and lo
Page 24 and 25: 22 | Study In Japan, Honda's new mi
Page 26 and 27: 24 | Study Full hybrid powertrains
Page 28 and 29: 26 | Study Most of the technologies
Page 32 and 33: 30 | Study If most of the powertrai
Page 34 and 35: 32 | Study OEMs selling in the Euro
Page 36 and 37: 34 | Study PHEVs can take a number
Page 38 and 39: 36 | Study The new versions will mo
Page 40 and 41: 38 | Study For high-end application
Page 42 and 43: 40 | Study To follow the path of le
Page 44 and 45: 42 | Study Battery charger When an
Page 46 and 47: 44 | Study But Li-Ion batteries hav
Page 48 and 49: 46 | Study The exact chemical make-
Page 50 and 51: 48 | Study Battery costs will mainl
Page 52 and 53: 50 | Study To summarize, battery te
Page 54 and 55: 52 | Study 2.2.3.5 Conclusions As w
Page 56 and 57: 54 | Study 3. Scenarios for the dev
Page 58 and 59: 56 | Study 3.2.1 Meeting customers'
Page 60 and 61: 58 | Study Model 2: "Like gas stati
Page 62 and 63: 60 | Study The first generation of
Page 64 and 65: 62 | Study 3.2.2 Attractive pricing
Page 66 and 67: 64 | Study Driver 3b: Battery price
Page 68 and 69: 66 | Study For all intents and purp
Page 70 and 71: 68 | Study Given these uncertaintie
Page 72 and 73: 70 | Study 4. Impact on the mobilit
Page 74 and 75: 72 | Study 4.2.2 Raw materials for
Page 76 and 77: 74 | Study At the same time, key Eu
Page 78 and 79: 76 | Study 4.4.1 Financial burden a
Page 80 and 81:
78 | Study 4.5 Infrastructure and e
Page 82 and 83:
80 | Study 4.7 Summary The coming c
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82 | Study What does the story of t
Page 86 and 87:
84 | Study But, in addition to all
Page 88 and 89:
86 | Study Synthesis: Define your g
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88 | Study Step 3: Define your posi
Page 92 and 93:
90 | Study > In early phases, autom
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92 | Study Implementation and timin
Page 96 and 97:
94 | Study Co-authors Ralf Kalmbach
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96 | Study Co-authors Jesus Salvado
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