Powertrain 2020 - The Future Drives Electric (PDF ... - Roland Berger

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52 | Study 2.2.3.5 Conclusions As we have seen, there is major development potential in the key powertrain components of EVs and PHEVs. As in all other high-tech fields, the first generation of products will be big, heavy and costly. But with an industry as powerful as the global automotive sector, things are likely to move fast. In particular, highly competitive components are likely to emerge at attractive prices in the period up to 2020. Government support programs and global competition for technology leadership will speed up this process. Companies must try to move from successful prototypes in the laboratory to high-quality, mass-production components for the automotive industry. The faster they can do this, the more they stand to benefit.
53 | "Powertrain 2020 – The Future Drives Electric" Of course, the true amount of CO 2 emissions that can be cut by replacing conventional ICE-powered vehicles with EVs and PHEVs depends on how clean the source of the electric power itself is. With today's average global emissions of less than 600 g of CO 2 per kWh in power generation 1) , EVs and PHEVs can provide more than 30% of the CO 2 reduction per vehicle even on a well-to-wheel basis – not taking into account the efforts being put into replacing CO 2 -intensive power generation with methods based on renewable power sources. Replacing 20% of today's LDV fleet with EVs and PHEVs would mean putting roughly 130 million such vehicles on the road worldwide. This would increase world electricity demand by about 150 TWh or 1%. In other words, the impact would be much less than the expected global increase in electricity generation from renewable sources. 1) 1) Source: IEA, WEO 2008
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Michael Valentine-Urbschat, Dr. Wol
Page 4 and 5: 2 | Study Contents Executive summar
Page 6 and 7: 4 | Study 1. High-power and high-en
Page 8 and 9: 6 | Study Introduction There can be
Page 10 and 11: 8 | Study These developments have r
Page 12 and 13: 10 | Study To achieve this ambitiou
Page 14 and 15: 12 | Study 1.2 Regulatory framework
Page 16 and 17: 14 | Study The Chinese domestic aut
Page 18 and 19: 16 | Study 1.2.2 Support for resear
Page 20 and 21: 18 | Study 1.2.3 Steering demand In
Page 22 and 23: 20 | Study 1.2.4 Authorities and lo
Page 24 and 25: 22 | Study In Japan, Honda's new mi
Page 26 and 27: 24 | Study Full hybrid powertrains
Page 28 and 29: 26 | Study Most of the technologies
Page 30 and 31: 28 | Study
Page 32 and 33: 30 | Study If most of the powertrai
Page 34 and 35: 32 | Study OEMs selling in the Euro
Page 36 and 37: 34 | Study PHEVs can take a number
Page 38 and 39: 36 | Study The new versions will mo
Page 40 and 41: 38 | Study For high-end application
Page 42 and 43: 40 | Study To follow the path of le
Page 44 and 45: 42 | Study Battery charger When an
Page 46 and 47: 44 | Study But Li-Ion batteries hav
Page 48 and 49: 46 | Study The exact chemical make-
Page 50 and 51: 48 | Study Battery costs will mainl
Page 52 and 53: 50 | Study To summarize, battery te
Page 56 and 57: 54 | Study 3. Scenarios for the dev
Page 58 and 59: 56 | Study 3.2.1 Meeting customers'
Page 60 and 61: 58 | Study Model 2: "Like gas stati
Page 62 and 63: 60 | Study The first generation of
Page 64 and 65: 62 | Study 3.2.2 Attractive pricing
Page 66 and 67: 64 | Study Driver 3b: Battery price
Page 68 and 69: 66 | Study For all intents and purp
Page 70 and 71: 68 | Study Given these uncertaintie
Page 72 and 73: 70 | Study 4. Impact on the mobilit
Page 74 and 75: 72 | Study 4.2.2 Raw materials for
Page 76 and 77: 74 | Study At the same time, key Eu
Page 78 and 79: 76 | Study 4.4.1 Financial burden a
Page 80 and 81: 78 | Study 4.5 Infrastructure and e
Page 82 and 83: 80 | Study 4.7 Summary The coming c
Page 84 and 85: 82 | Study What does the story of t
Page 86 and 87: 84 | Study But, in addition to all
Page 88 and 89: 86 | Study Synthesis: Define your g
Page 90 and 91: 88 | Study Step 3: Define your posi
Page 92 and 93: 90 | Study > In early phases, autom
Page 94 and 95: 92 | Study Implementation and timin
Page 96 and 97: 94 | Study Co-authors Ralf Kalmbach
Page 98: 96 | Study Co-authors Jesus Salvado
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