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Latin America; in English (pdf) - Transboundary Freshwater Dispute ...

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Lake Titicaca, the largest freshwater lake <strong>in</strong> South <strong>America</strong>, located high <strong>in</strong> the Andes on the border of Bolivia and Peru. Photo credit: Joshua T. Newton.<br />

The term “hydropolitics” (co<strong>in</strong>ed by Waterbury<br />

1979) came about as the potential for conflict<br />

and violence to erupt over <strong>in</strong>ternational waters<br />

began to receive substantial new attention.<br />

Hydropolitics relates to the ability of geopolitical<br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutions to manage shared water resources <strong>in</strong><br />

a politically susta<strong>in</strong>able manner, i.e., without<br />

tensions or conflict between political entities.<br />

“Hydropolitical resilience,” then, is def<strong>in</strong>ed as the<br />

complex human-environmental system’s ability to<br />

adapt to permutations and change with<strong>in</strong> these<br />

systems; “hydropolitical vulnerability” is def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

by the risk of political dispute over shared water<br />

systems. Wolf et al. (2003) suggested the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

relationship between change, <strong>in</strong>stitutions, and<br />

hydropolitical vulnerability: “The likelihood of<br />

conflict rises as the rate of change with<strong>in</strong> the<br />

bas<strong>in</strong> exceeds the <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity to absorb<br />

that change.”<br />

This suggests that there are two sides to the<br />

dispute sett<strong>in</strong>g: the rate of change <strong>in</strong> the system<br />

and the <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity. In general, most of<br />

the parameters regularly identified as <strong>in</strong>dicators<br />

of water conflict are actually only weakly l<strong>in</strong>ked to<br />

dispute. Institutional capacity with<strong>in</strong> a bas<strong>in</strong>,<br />

however, whether def<strong>in</strong>ed as water management<br />

bodies or treaties, or generally positive <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

relations, is as important, if not more so, than the<br />

physical aspects of a system. It turns out, then,<br />

that very rapid changes, either on the <strong>in</strong>stitutional<br />

side or <strong>in</strong> the physical system, that outpace the<br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity to absorb those changes,<br />

are at the root of most water conflict. For<br />

example, the rapid <strong>in</strong>stitutional change <strong>in</strong><br />

“<strong>in</strong>ternationalized” bas<strong>in</strong>s, i.e., bas<strong>in</strong>s that<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude the management structures of newly<br />

<strong>in</strong>dependent States, has resulted <strong>in</strong> disputes <strong>in</strong><br />

areas formerly under British adm<strong>in</strong>istration (e.g.,<br />

the Nile, Jordan, Tigris-Euphrates, Indus, and<br />

Ganges-Brahmaputra), as well as <strong>in</strong> the former<br />

Soviet Union (e.g., the Aral tributaries and the<br />

Kura-Araks). On the physical side, rapid change<br />

most outpaces <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity <strong>in</strong> bas<strong>in</strong>s that<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude unilateral development projects and the<br />

absence of cooperative regimes, such as treaties,<br />

river bas<strong>in</strong> organizations (RBOs), or technical<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g groups, or when relations are especially<br />

tenuous over other issues (Wolf et al. 2003).<br />

The general assumption of this series, then,<br />

which will be explored <strong>in</strong> each regional study, is<br />

that rapid change tends to <strong>in</strong>dicate vulnerability<br />

while <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity tends to <strong>in</strong>dicate<br />

resilience, and that the two sides must be<br />

assessed <strong>in</strong> conjunction with each other for<br />

4 — Hydropolitical Vulnerability and Resilience along International Waters: <strong>Lat<strong>in</strong></strong> <strong>America</strong> and the Caribbean

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