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Annual Report 2008 - Ministry of Finance and Planning

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1. Macro Economic Perspectives<br />

25<br />

Exchange Rates among Key Currencies were Highly<br />

Volatile<br />

Chart 1.7<br />

Chart 1.6<br />

The sharp volatility in exchange rates also made adjustment<br />

in the exchange market more challenging, particularly in<br />

the backdrop <strong>of</strong> prospects for recovery <strong>of</strong> world dem<strong>and</strong><br />

being uncertain. While many currencies have shown drastic<br />

adjustments in nominal exchange rates, in the context<br />

<strong>of</strong> complex international market conditions <strong>and</strong> price<br />

behaviours, the rupee also depreciated by 4 percent against<br />

the dollar in <strong>2008</strong>, unlike in the previous year.<br />

External <strong>and</strong> Internal Shocks<br />

Unprecedented High Oil Price<br />

The international oil prices increased to unprecedented<br />

levels with crude oil price per barrel reaching to US $ 147<br />

in July <strong>2008</strong>. Our country being totally import dependent<br />

pertaining to oil, Ceylon Petroleum Corporation was<br />

compelled to revise domestic oil prices.<br />

The country’s oil bill alone was US $ 3,368 million in <strong>2008</strong>,<br />

a further increase <strong>of</strong> US $ 800 million during the year. The<br />

outflow <strong>of</strong> foreign exchange caused a severe pressure on<br />

the exchange rate <strong>and</strong> the trade deficit. The exceptionally<br />

high oil prices compelled the Government to revise<br />

domestic prices to prevent extra pressure on its budgetary<br />

operations. However, as the Government was mindful<br />

<strong>of</strong> price escalations in the domestic market <strong>and</strong> also <strong>of</strong><br />

consequential general cost increases, these revisions were<br />

implemented as gradual adjustments. As a further measure,<br />

the government also granted duty waivers to mitigate rising<br />

prices <strong>of</strong> petroleum products <strong>and</strong> also maintained kerosene<br />

prices at a subsidized rate for the benefit <strong>of</strong> vulnerable<br />

segments in the society. The oil prices declined in the latter<br />

part <strong>of</strong> the year enabling the government to reduce domestic<br />

prices <strong>and</strong> reinstate formal taxes on petroleum products by<br />

removing duty waivers granted during the period that high<br />

prices prevailed.<br />

<strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Finance</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Planning</strong> Sri Lanka<br />

<strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2008</strong>

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