Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis

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Reading Summary Questions: 231 For each chapter/work, answer the following questions (in writing) about the reading. 1. What is the author’s purpose If there is more than one main point, what is the overarching purpose 2. What are the key questions the author raises/addresses 3. What evidence does the author provide to support his argument 4. What inferences does the author make from the evidence 5. On what underlying concepts does the author rely 6. What does the author take for granted What assumptions does the author make 7. What are the implications of the author’s point of view What are the implications if we adopt/do not adopt what the author recommends 8. What is the author’s point of view What other points of view are there 231 Paul and Elder, Concepts and Tools, 13. – 114 –
Final Project Evaluation Worksheet 232 Fairness Significance Logic Breadth Depth Relevance Precision Accuracy Clarity Purpose Key Questions Assumptions Evidence A: Methods B: Analysis Concepts Inferences Implications Other Points of View Lessons Learned Comments 232 Derived by author from Paul and Elder, Concepts and Tools, 2–9. – 115 –
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The National Defense Intelligence C
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Contents Figures and Tables........
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Figures and Tables Figure 1: A Comp
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- viii -
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As one would expect, the Intelligen
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- xii -
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quality by looking at the products
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Commentary Francis J. Hughes Profes
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That said, clever defense lawyers o
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Robert Heibel, Mercyhurst College;
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CRITICAL THINKING AND INTELLIGENCE
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CRITICAL THINKING AND INTELLIGENCE
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Figure 1 models analysts’ thinkin
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ecome better critical thinkers will
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- and consequences - things that do
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approach ensures that a topic or is
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Skill-Based Definitions Other appro
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A Disposition to Think Critically I
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The Role of Questions Greg Treverto
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problem solving and structured meth
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In fact, the Soviets were able to d
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It should be noted that the U.S. In
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thwarted What can be learned to adv
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Purpose · Determine what is going
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critical thinking could moderate th
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Cuba” that led to the tasking of
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A missile-launching complex is not
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(mapping), evaluate and adapt the i
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Winners and Losers: The Crisis in C
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as seen from Khrushchev’s Point o
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the Soviet Union’s communist agen
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supporting forces, an escalation of
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in the hands of the West. If, as Al
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most recent failure. Critical think
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was not enough. 117 Biases and mind
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asked, as they realized they had no
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person, the analysis was faulty bec
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undermines or supports the particul
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to meet short deadlines. However, a
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the FBI investigated a pond in west
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How can Analysts be Taught to Think
Page 87 and 88: young analysts were unable to do so
Page 89 and 90: it out on their own, encouraged by
Page 91 and 92: instructional models offer compleme
Page 93 and 94: Another means of critical thinking
Page 95 and 96: time constraints, multiple versions
Page 97 and 98: they were required to examine. 173
Page 99 and 100: As Denning points out, these strate
Page 101 and 102: of thinking. For example, two video
Page 103 and 104: intelligence agencies. 191 This was
Page 105 and 106: thinking, however, by providing str
Page 107 and 108: Cooper’s Analytic Pathology Negle
Page 109 and 110: substantially better judgments abou
Page 111 and 112: item limit is easily extended: peop
Page 113 and 114: Finally, it may be a fallacy that c
Page 115 and 116: partnerships between analysts and t
Page 117 and 118: 1990s and 2000s Emergence of comple
Page 119 and 120: Conclusion Never before in our peac
Page 121 and 122: Appendix NSA’s Critical Thinking
Page 123 and 124: Administration: Enrollment: Up to 2
Page 125 and 126: against which to apply/illustrate w
Page 127 and 128: mindsets impact analysis. • Defin
Page 129 and 130: • Describe what is needed to move
Page 131 and 132: Class 4 - Causes, Squares, and Shru
Page 133 and 134: Class 6 - Testing the Devil’s and
Page 135 and 136: Class 8 - And Now for Something Com
Page 137: Class 10 - Final Project Presentati
Page 141 and 142: Bibliography Ackerman, Robert K.
Page 143 and 144: Cheikes, Brant A., Mark J. Brown, P
Page 145 and 146: __________. Building Airplanes in F
Page 147 and 148: Grabo, Cynthia M. Anticipating Surp
Page 149 and 150: Kerbel, Josh. “Thinking Straight:
Page 151 and 152: Miller, Judith. “A Battle of Word
Page 153 and 154: Paul, Richard W., Linda Elder, and
Page 155 and 156: Stefik, Mark, and Barbara Stefik. B
Page 157 and 158: About the Author David T. Moore is
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