Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis

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Anderson, Terence J., and William Twining. Analysis of Evidence: How to Do Things with Facts Based on Wigmore’s Science of Judicial Proof. Chicago, IL: Northwestern University Press, 1991. Anderson, Terence J., David A. Schum, and William Twining. Analysis of Evidence. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2005. Bathurst, Robert B. Intelligence and the Mirror: On Creating an Enemy. Oslo, Norway: International Peace Research Institute, 1993. Ben-Israel, Isaac. “Philosophy and Methodology of Intelligence: The Logic of the Estimate Process. Intelligence and National Security 4, no. 4 (October 1989): 660–718. Blight, James G., and David A. Welch, Eds. Intelligence and the Cuban Missile Crisis. London, UK: Frank Cass, 1998. Boden, Margaret A. The Creative Mind: Myths and Mechanisms. New York, NY: Basic Books, 1990. Brei, William S., CAPT, USAF. Getting Intelligence Right: The Power of Logical Procedure. Occasional Paper Number Two. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, January 1996. Brent, Joseph. Charles Sanders Peirce: A Life. Bloomington, IN: Indiana University Press, 1998. Brookfield, Stephen D. Developing Critical Thinkers: Challenging Adults to Explore Alternative Ways of Thinking and Acting. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass Publishers, 1987. Callum, Robert. “The Case for Cultural Diversity in the Intelligence Community.” International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 14, no. 1, Spring 2001: 25–48. – 118 –
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The National Defense Intelligence C
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Contents Figures and Tables........
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Figures and Tables Figure 1: A Comp
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- viii -
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As one would expect, the Intelligen
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- xii -
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quality by looking at the products
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Commentary Francis J. Hughes Profes
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That said, clever defense lawyers o
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Robert Heibel, Mercyhurst College;
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CRITICAL THINKING AND INTELLIGENCE
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CRITICAL THINKING AND INTELLIGENCE
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Figure 1 models analysts’ thinkin
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ecome better critical thinkers will
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- and consequences - things that do
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approach ensures that a topic or is
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Skill-Based Definitions Other appro
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A Disposition to Think Critically I
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The Role of Questions Greg Treverto
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problem solving and structured meth
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In fact, the Soviets were able to d
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It should be noted that the U.S. In
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thwarted What can be learned to adv
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Purpose · Determine what is going
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critical thinking could moderate th
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Cuba” that led to the tasking of
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A missile-launching complex is not
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(mapping), evaluate and adapt the i
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Winners and Losers: The Crisis in C
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as seen from Khrushchev’s Point o
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the Soviet Union’s communist agen
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supporting forces, an escalation of
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in the hands of the West. If, as Al
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most recent failure. Critical think
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was not enough. 117 Biases and mind
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asked, as they realized they had no
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person, the analysis was faulty bec
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undermines or supports the particul
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to meet short deadlines. However, a
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the FBI investigated a pond in west
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How can Analysts be Taught to Think
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young analysts were unable to do so
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it out on their own, encouraged by
Page 91 and 92: instructional models offer compleme
Page 93 and 94: Another means of critical thinking
Page 95 and 96: time constraints, multiple versions
Page 97 and 98: they were required to examine. 173
Page 99 and 100: As Denning points out, these strate
Page 101 and 102: of thinking. For example, two video
Page 103 and 104: intelligence agencies. 191 This was
Page 105 and 106: thinking, however, by providing str
Page 107 and 108: Cooper’s Analytic Pathology Negle
Page 109 and 110: substantially better judgments abou
Page 111 and 112: item limit is easily extended: peop
Page 113 and 114: Finally, it may be a fallacy that c
Page 115 and 116: partnerships between analysts and t
Page 117 and 118: 1990s and 2000s Emergence of comple
Page 119 and 120: Conclusion Never before in our peac
Page 121 and 122: Appendix NSA’s Critical Thinking
Page 123 and 124: Administration: Enrollment: Up to 2
Page 125 and 126: against which to apply/illustrate w
Page 127 and 128: mindsets impact analysis. • Defin
Page 129 and 130: • Describe what is needed to move
Page 131 and 132: Class 4 - Causes, Squares, and Shru
Page 133 and 134: Class 6 - Testing the Devil’s and
Page 135 and 136: Class 8 - And Now for Something Com
Page 137 and 138: Class 10 - Final Project Presentati
Page 139 and 140: Final Project Evaluation Worksheet
Page 141: Bibliography Ackerman, Robert K.
Page 145 and 146: __________. Building Airplanes in F
Page 147 and 148: Grabo, Cynthia M. Anticipating Surp
Page 149 and 150: Kerbel, Josh. “Thinking Straight:
Page 151 and 152: Miller, Judith. “A Battle of Word
Page 153 and 154: Paul, Richard W., Linda Elder, and
Page 155 and 156: Stefik, Mark, and Barbara Stefik. B
Page 157 and 158: About the Author David T. Moore is
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