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Cesar2000-Economics of Coral Reefs.pdf

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Threats perceived to have declined a lot<br />

Threats perceived to have increased a lot<br />

sedimentation/<br />

deforestation 3%<br />

mining 3%<br />

sedimentation/deforestation 3%<br />

mining 9%<br />

overfishing 17%<br />

overfishing<br />

38%<br />

destructive fishing<br />

11%<br />

destructive<br />

fishing 56%<br />

others 14%<br />

others 21%<br />

Figure 6. Distribution <strong>of</strong> types <strong>of</strong> threats by perceived trend.<br />

pollution 23%<br />

cultural obligations, such as the custom at some sites <strong>of</strong><br />

giving turtles to traditional chiefs. The study also found<br />

that in general, simple rules (e.g., a ban on dynamite<br />

fishing) appeared to enjoy greater perceived compliance<br />

than more complex arrangements (e.g., a ban on harvesting<br />

trochus between January and May).<br />

3.4 Perceived Trends in Threats<br />

to Coastal Resources<br />

Out <strong>of</strong> 377 perceptions <strong>of</strong> trends in threats to coastal<br />

resources, 50 percent perceived threats as having increased<br />

over the past decade, while 37 percent perceived<br />

a decrease. There were also significant differences in<br />

local perceptions according to the type <strong>of</strong> threat (table<br />

3). Pairwise comparisons indicated that pollution was<br />

perceived as having increased more quickly than other<br />

threats, while destructive fishing practices were believed<br />

to have declined the most (figure 6). 8 Destructive fishing<br />

practices did not include cyanide fish poisoning, which<br />

was not reported at the study sites.<br />

In general, respondents felt that destructive fishing and<br />

certain types <strong>of</strong> overfishing could be handled by the community.<br />

Outside help was believed necessary in dealing with<br />

pollution, overfishing by outsiders, and other threats such<br />

8<br />

The Mann-Whitney rank test was significant at the 5 percent level<br />

(Siegel & Castellan 1988).<br />

as dredging, construction <strong>of</strong> causeways, and drilling for oil.<br />

Sites in Samoa and Tonga differed substantially in their<br />

views <strong>of</strong> the degree to which communities could handle<br />

threats. Respondents in Tonga, where there is an open<br />

access system, felt local communities could handle only 22<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> the most important threats and that outside support<br />

was required for as many as 72 percent. By contrast,<br />

sites in Samoa, where a recent community-based management<br />

program was introduced, felt that the communities<br />

could handle 61 percent <strong>of</strong> the threats, and that the remaining<br />

could be handled through a mixture <strong>of</strong> community<br />

and outside help (Samoan sites were smaller, however).<br />

3.5 Factors Influencing Perceived Success<br />

Table 5 on next page shows the results <strong>of</strong> the econometric<br />

analysis for factors affecting perceived success.<br />

With the exception <strong>of</strong> the CpUE model, the results indicate<br />

a reasonable fit for a cross-sectional dataset. The significance<br />

<strong>of</strong> ‘natural disasters’ in explaining perceived CpUE<br />

and habitat trends is consistent with the rapid resource recovery<br />

which typically follows a cyclone event. ‘Quality<br />

<strong>of</strong> leadership’ appears to be important in controlling perceived<br />

threats. 9 Consistent with the findings <strong>of</strong> the nonparametric<br />

statistics, the presence <strong>of</strong> ‘pollution’ seems to have<br />

9<br />

Sites with sound leadership also tended to have moderately higher<br />

perceptions <strong>of</strong> reef finfish CPUE and reef habitat trends. For details,<br />

see World Bank (2000a).<br />

A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND MANAGEMENT ISSUES RELATED TO COASTAL RESOURCES IN THE PACIFIC ISLANDS<br />

177

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