Cesar2000-Economics of Coral Reefs.pdf

Table 5.
Results of the Econometric Analysis for Success Factors
Success Factors CpUE Habitat Threat Compliance Aggregated Success
Trends Trends Trends 1 Trends
_______________ Ordered Probit Models ______________________ Ordinary Least Squares
Palau 3 0.174 0.011 0.166 0.889** 0.237
Samoa 3 0.198 –0.949* –0.127 0.481 0.015
Solomon Islands 3 –0.096 –0.289 0.760* –0.462* –0.797*
Tonga 3 0.498 0.271 1.140** 0.867 0.897
Natural Disasters 0.523** 0.364** 0.112 0.391* 0.815**
Quality of Leadership 0.032 0.077 –0.281** 0.106 0.161
Inability to Exclude Outsiders 0.099 0.054 –0.114 0.205** 0.062
Presence of Pollution –0.082 –0.707** – 0.363** –0.269
Population Density 0.000 –0.000 –0.000* 0.000 0.000
Number of Ecosystems 0.097 –0.072 –0.145** 0.173* 0.145
Equal Sharing of Cost/Benefits 0.131* 0.040 –0.371** 0.206* 0.229**
Destructive Fishing Practices 3 –0.606**
Land-Based Threats 3 0.482*
Overfishing Threats 3 0.343
Type of Rule: National rules
adopted locally 3 0.915**
Type of Rule: National rule 3 –0.169
Constant (for OLS regression) –1.830**
First ordinal rating 2 0.971* –1.615** –2.623** 1.445*
Second ordinal rating 2.179** –0.489 –1.739** 1.941**
Third ordinal rating 2.751** 0.311 –1.278** 2.602**
Fourth ordinal rating 3.425** 1.226* –0.615
N 399 396 377 442 124
Probability Value of F test 0.1203 0.0150 0.0000 0.0029 0.0164
R-square 0.48
1
Threat trends are rated inversely to the other indicators, i.e. a high rating indicates an increasing threat.
2
This is analogous to the constant on ordinary least squares regression and indicates the ratings on the ordinal scale dependent variable.
3
The significance of these variables needs to be assessed in comparison with the omitted variables: ‘Fiji’ (for countries), ‘other threats’ (for presence
of specific threats), and ‘indigenous rules’ (for types of rules).
Significance levels: * significant at p