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Cesar2000-Economics of Coral Reefs.pdf

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model may be most appropriate. Finally, decision support<br />

models should be amenable to modification and<br />

revision <strong>of</strong> the data components, the specified relationships<br />

within the model, and the development alternatives<br />

or scenarios considered by the model. Again, it is<br />

imperative that the needs <strong>of</strong> the users be kept in mind. A<br />

model that uses data that are no longer valid for a particular<br />

locale, whose underlying ecological economic relationships<br />

are no longer accurate, or allows for no further<br />

modification or alteration <strong>of</strong> the specified development<br />

alternatives or scenarios, will prove to be <strong>of</strong> little use in<br />

the long run.<br />

2. RESULTS OF THE MODELLING PROJECTS<br />

In 1995, work commenced under World Bank Research<br />

Committee funding on two streams <strong>of</strong> research concerning<br />

coral reefs in the developing tropics: i) cost-effectiveness<br />

modelling <strong>of</strong> management interventions (i.e., a<br />

question <strong>of</strong> the ‘supply’ <strong>of</strong> biodiversity as an economic<br />

asset); and, ii) marine system valuation (i.e., a question<br />

<strong>of</strong> the ‘demand’ for biodiversity). Essentially, the leastcost<br />

modelling sought to identify the cost curve for<br />

interventions to improve coral reef conditions, where<br />

the effects <strong>of</strong> various policy interventions and economic<br />

activities are linked to overall coral reef health and costs<br />

associated with making improvements (Huber et al.<br />

1994; Meesters 1995; Meesters et al. 1995; Ridgley et al.<br />

1995; Rijsberman 1995; Rijsberman et al. 1995; Westmacott<br />

et al. 1995; Brown et al. 1996; Huber et al.<br />

1996; Meesters & Westmacott 1996; Meesters et al.<br />

1996; Ridgley & Dollar 1996; Rijsberman & Westmacott<br />

1996; Westmacott 1996; Westmacott & Rijsberman<br />

1997; Huber & Jameson 1998a; Meesters et al.<br />

1998; Ruitenbeek et al. 1999a, 1999b). The marine<br />

system valuation model sought to identify the benefits<br />

that can be realised from sustaining or improving coral<br />

reef conditions (Huber and Ruitenbeek 1997; Gustavson<br />

1998; Putterman 1998; Spash et al. 1998; Ruitenbeek<br />

& Cartier 1999). The results <strong>of</strong> the research efforts<br />

can be found in Gustavson et al. (2000).<br />

The broad objective <strong>of</strong> the research was to assist policy-makers<br />

in the management and protection <strong>of</strong> coral<br />

reefs (Huber et al. 1994; Huber & Ruitenbeek 1997).<br />

The establishment <strong>of</strong> a cost-benefit methodology appropriate<br />

for use on coral reef systems in the developing<br />

tropics, and on marine systems in general, will assist in<br />

identifying appropriate institutional and policy interventions<br />

to help realise economically efficient uses <strong>of</strong><br />

coral reefs while considering the impacts on and role <strong>of</strong><br />

the supporting ecosystem. Such a cost-benefit analysis<br />

(CBA) ‘package’ is represented by the integration <strong>of</strong> the<br />

cost-effectiveness and valuation models (Ruitenbeek &<br />

Cartier 1999). Three case study sites were selected on<br />

which to test the methodologies:<br />

i) Curaçao, the Netherland Antilles;<br />

ii) the Republic <strong>of</strong> the Maldives; and,<br />

iii) Montego Bay, Jamaica.<br />

2.1 <strong>Coral</strong>-Curaçao<br />

Rijsberman & Westmacott (1996, see also Meesters<br />

1995; Rijsberman et al. 1995; Westmacott et al. 1995;<br />

Meesters et al. 1996) developed a cost-effectiveness analysis<br />

model for coral reef management and protection for<br />

the south coast <strong>of</strong> Curaçao. The decision support model<br />

was developed to facilitate communication among<br />

stakeholders concerning development directions and environmental<br />

management strategies; the analysis <strong>of</strong> impacts<br />

on coral reef health <strong>of</strong> planned developments<br />

through the discharge <strong>of</strong> wastewater and sediment,<br />

thereby integrating land-use, tourism and conservation<br />

planning; and, the analysis <strong>of</strong> the cost-effectiveness <strong>of</strong><br />

management interventions designed to maintain coral<br />

reef health. The model utilises a structured computer<br />

interface.<br />

Results <strong>of</strong> three modelling scenarios (a reference status<br />

quo development scenario and two alternative<br />

growth scenarios) indicate that Curaçao is likely to experience<br />

significant declines in coral reef health and abundance<br />

over the next 10 years. However, the modelling<br />

also indicates that interventions involving environmental<br />

protection strategies can halt this trend and, in some<br />

case, lead to the recovery <strong>of</strong> reefs above the current state<br />

<strong>of</strong> health. The implementation <strong>of</strong> individual measures<br />

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMIC DECISION SUPPORT MODELLING FOR THE INTEGRATED COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT OF CORAL REEFS<br />

185

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