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Cesar2000-Economics of Coral Reefs.pdf

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marginal benefit function, relating price to changes in<br />

coral reef abundance, further assumptions were required<br />

regarding the relationship between the categories <strong>of</strong><br />

values and coral reef abundance or quality. Specifically, a<br />

linear relationship is assumed between reef quality and<br />

local use values and non-use utility values. This is most<br />

likely not the case, but assuming a less simplified relationship<br />

cannot be justified given our current knowledge.<br />

Only the results <strong>of</strong> the bioprospecting valuation<br />

model (Ruitenbeek & Cartier 1999) allowed the specification<br />

<strong>of</strong> a different functional form. As noted by<br />

Ruitenbeek & Cartier (1999), total net marginal values<br />

will likely be over-estimated in some instances and under-estimated<br />

in others.<br />

The total benefit attributed to the coral reefs <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Montego Bay Marine Park is estimated at US$ 470 million<br />

(table 1). Every 1% change in abundance is likely to<br />

generate a marginal benefit <strong>of</strong> US$ 10 million or, alternatively,<br />

the marginal price <strong>of</strong> coral reef is approximately<br />

US$ 23 million/ha (Ruitenbeek & Cartier 1999). Most <strong>of</strong><br />

the value is attributed to tourism. Coastal protection and<br />

non-use utility benefits also contribute, but to a much<br />

lesser extent. Existing fisheries and the potential development<br />

<strong>of</strong> a bioprospecting program have a negligible<br />

effect on marginal values (Ruitenbeek & Cartier 1999).<br />

marginal cost and benefit (million US$/% coral cover)<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

13% improvment<br />

0<br />

29 40 50<br />

coral abundance (%)<br />

Figure 2. Montego Bay intervention marginal benefit and<br />

cost curves for the global optimisation solution<br />

(Source: Ruitenbeek & Cartier 1999).<br />

Using the marginal cost function as reported in the<br />

least cost intervention study for the Montego Bay Marine<br />

Park (Ruitenbeek et al. 1999a), in conjunction with<br />

the marginal benefit estimates, allows one to arrive at a<br />

global optimisation (figure 2). An optimal improvement<br />

<strong>of</strong> coral reef abundance <strong>of</strong> 13% is suggested (i.e., from<br />

approximately 29% live cover as estimated from model<br />

equilibrium conditions — see Ruitenbeek et al. 1999a<br />

MC<br />

MB<br />

Table 1. Summary <strong>of</strong> Valuation Results for Montego Bay <strong>Coral</strong> <strong>Reefs</strong> (Source: Ruitenbeek & Cartier 1999)<br />

Benefit Price Price<br />

(NPV; million US$) (million US$/%) a (million US$/ha) a<br />

Tourism/recreation 315.00 7.33 17.18<br />

Artisanal fishery 1.31 0.03 0.07<br />

Coastal protection 65.00 1.51 3.54<br />

Local non-use 6.00 0.24 0.56<br />

Visitor non-use 13.60 0.54 1.28<br />

Subtotal 400.91 9.65 22.63<br />

Pharmaceutical bioprospecting (global) 70.09 0.23 0.53<br />

Total (global) 471.00 9.88 23.16<br />

Pharmaceutical bioprospecting (Jamaica) 7.01 0.02 0.05<br />

Total (Jamaica) 407.92 9.67 22.68<br />

a<br />

Marginal benefits shown at typical current reef conditions.<br />

190<br />

KENT GUSTAVSON & RICHARD M. HUBER:

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