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The Nordic Model - Embracing globalization and sharing risks

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als take part in various unemployment insurance <strong>and</strong> activation<br />

schemes.<br />

<strong>The</strong> main policy conclusions that emerge from the research<br />

literature are 12 :<br />

· A generous unemployment insurance scheme is not infeasible<br />

per se; unemployment spells need not imply poverty.<br />

· However, there is a strong case for a decreasing time profile<br />

in benefit payments as well as an expiry date for their<br />

duration. In other words, insurance levels can initially be<br />

high, but they must shrink markedly as the unemployment<br />

spell is prolonged. A large amount of theoretical <strong>and</strong> empirical<br />

research suggests that the search effort of the<br />

individual intensifies as the time limit approaches <strong>and</strong> the<br />

benefit level shrinks. A fairly high initial benefit level can<br />

be compatible with efficiency, but it must also be preceded<br />

by a “self-insured” no-benefit period at the very beginning<br />

of an unemployment spell, so that transitions to unemployment<br />

in general <strong>and</strong> abuse of the insurance system in<br />

particular is discouraged.<br />

· <strong>The</strong>re is a strong case for active monitoring of the recipient’s<br />

search effort. Monitoring is costly, but stringent<br />

monitoring can sustain a more generous insurance system.<br />

Needless to say, the cost of monitoring can be kept down<br />

if the sanctions of getting caught are sufficiently severe.<br />

· Similarly, the effects of workfare elements, in the sense of<br />

conditionality of benefits on training or activation schemes,<br />

can also be strong. Even if the productivity <strong>and</strong> direct<br />

return on activation schemes is poor, such schemes can<br />

act as a useful deterrent <strong>and</strong> selection device – an activation<br />

scheme or a training course makes unemployment<br />

a less attractive option for those not strongly engaged in<br />

job search.<br />

With structural unemployment stuck at 6–7 per cent in Sweden<br />

<strong>and</strong> Finl<strong>and</strong>, one clearly has to ask whether the unemployment<br />

insurance system is appropriate at present.<br />

<strong>The</strong> introduction of uniform pay increases in Sweden in the<br />

1950s went h<strong>and</strong> in h<strong>and</strong> with an active labour market policy in-<br />

Unemployment benefits<br />

can be generous<br />

if they are time limited<br />

<strong>and</strong> conditional – a<br />

review of the rules is<br />

called for<br />

114 · <strong>The</strong> <strong>Nordic</strong> <strong>Model</strong>

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